---
title: "Kitten case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Kitten ($0.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 40 items with odds, observed 91.56% over 33.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Kitten](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Kitten

A case on CSGORUN (hype2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten?window=all)

Price · $0.99

Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $0.93 from 40 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.56% · 33.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 95.40% ±3.44 3,970 openings

7 days · 91.56% ±1.12 33.6K openings

30 days · 91.56% ±1.12 33.6K openings

since tracking started · 91.56% ±1.12 33.6K openings

88.5% 94.0% 99.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.24% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (90.44% – 92.69%, 33,609 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten?window=24h) | 3,970 | 95.40% ±3.44 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten?window=7d) | 33.6K | 91.56% ±1.12 | +4.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten) | 33.6K | 91.56% ±1.12 | +4.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kitten?window=all) | 33.6K | 91.56% ±1.12 | +4.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 35.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $145 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $104 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 333,333 | $85.27 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 142,857 | $49.57 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71,429 | $31.71 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47,619 | $28.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 21,277 | $22.37 | 0.1% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 9,259 | $17.78 | 0.2% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,944 | $15.07 | 0.2% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.58× |
| [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-field-tested) | 1 in 4,464 | $14.88 | 0.4% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,376 | $13.48 | 0.3% | 8 | 6.7 | 1.20× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 4,505 | $13.17 | 0.3% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,704 | $12.58 | 0.4% | 10 | 9.7 | 1.03× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,198 | $10.98 | 0.5% | 18 | 16.3 | 1.10× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 2,020 | $10.18 | 0.5% | 20 | 17.8 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 729 | $7.95 | 1.2% | 69 | 49.2 | 1.40× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 274 | $4.98 | 2.0% | 136 | 130.8 | 1.04× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-minimal-wear) | 1 in 219 | $4.68 | 2.3% | 169 | 163.7 | 1.03× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $4.11 | 2.6% | 236 | 213.5 | 1.11× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $3.60 | 2.7% | 251 | 247.5 | 1.01× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Panther (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $3.36 | 3.3% | 347 | 323.2 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $2.81 | 3.5% | 447 | 417.0 | 1.07× |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $2.68 | 4.0% | 538 | 502.9 | 1.07× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $2.68 | 4.0% | 540 | 499.2 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $2.32 | 4.6% | 642 | 665.7 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $1.96 | 7.0% | 1,248 | 1200.5 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.30 | 7.4% | 1,988 | 1912.8 | 1.04× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $1.25 | 8.2% | 2,165 | 2182.5 | 0.99× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.18 | 10.2% | 2,812 | 2875.4 | 0.98× |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.15 | 10.4% | 3,116 | 3031.6 | 1.03× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.62 | 4.0% | 2,112 | 2152.3 | 0.98× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.58 | 3.7% | 2,101 | 2152.3 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.49 | 3.2% | 2,084 | 2152.3 | 0.97× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.41 | 2.6% | 2,154 | 2152.3 | 1.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.36 | 2.3% | 2,156 | 2152.3 | 1.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.31 | 2.0% | 2,152 | 2152.3 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.30 | 1.9% | 2,123 | 2152.3 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.25 | 1.6% | 2,079 | 2152.3 | 0.97× |
| [P2000 \| Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.20 | 1.3% | 2,080 | 2152.3 | 0.97× |
| [Tec-9 \| Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $0.12 | 0.7% | 1,992 | 2005.3 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/kitten/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) [Стефания](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A1%D1%82%D0%B5%D1%84%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B8%D1%8F) $0.99 $49.57 50.07x 2026-11-08 10:46 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=kitten)

[Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-field-tested) [FRIZYX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/FRIZYX) $0.99 $0.31 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) [tolstiyqqqq](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/tolstiyqqqq) $0.99 $0.12 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) [Электрон ебучий](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%AD%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%82%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BD%20%D0%B5%D0%B1%D1%83%D1%87%D0%B8%D0%B9) $0.99 $0.49 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[P2000 | Imperial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) [Электрон ебучий](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%AD%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%82%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BD%20%D0%B5%D0%B1%D1%83%D1%87%D0%B8%D0%B9) $0.99 $0.41 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-field-tested) [Электрон ебучий](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%AD%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%82%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BD%20%D0%B5%D0%B1%D1%83%D1%87%D0%B8%D0%B9) $0.99 $0.20 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) [123](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/123) $0.99 $4.98 5.03x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-field-tested) [Дайкуни](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BA%D1%83%D0%BD%D0%B8) $0.99 $0.31 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[P2000 | Imperial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) [BeαR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Be%CE%B1R) $0.99 $0.41 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC

[MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) [Леонель Месик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9B%D0%B5%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%20%D0%9C%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BA) $0.99 $0.25 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) [камаз](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B7) $0.99 $0.49 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.99 | 94.00% | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.0% sunny 0.0% covert 0.0% classified 0.1% Legendary 0.8% Rare 1.4% #4b69ff 6.0% #d32ce6 0.0% mil spec 6.4% pink 0.5% violet 22.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.9% restricted 8.4% Mythical 9.3% #8847ff 14.5% uncommon 6.0% blue 12.0% milspec 6.0% industrial 5.6% best hit $49.57 (50.07x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt