--- title: "Kukri case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Kukri ($65.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.72% from 29 items with odds, observed 114.79% over 7 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Kukri](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Kukri A case on CSGORUN (knives2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri?window=all) Price · $65.99 Advertised RTP · 91.72% · EV $60.52 from 29 items Observed RTP, 30d · 114.79% · 7 openings, odds method Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 38.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 7 openings · below min since tracking started · 7 openings · below min 85.0% 140.0% 195.0% **Small sample.** 7 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri?window=24h) | 3 | 149.90% ±44.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri?window=7d) | 7 | 114.79% ±29.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri) | 7 | 114.79% ±29.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kukri?window=all) | 7 | 114.79% ±29.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,604 | $405 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 322 | $200 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 313 | $193 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $165 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 189 | $152 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 216 | $140 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 157 | $138 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $137 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $126 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $113 | 2.3% | 2 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 70 | $108 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $96.46 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $82.08 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $79.32 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $75.90 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $71.36 | 4.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $67.85 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $62.51 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $58.58 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $56.43 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $51.85 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $49.54 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $48.75 | 5.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $46.47 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $45.95 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $45.44 | 4.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $42.84 | 4.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $41.55 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $40.72 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/kukri/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=kukri) [★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [Slayer\_134](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Slayer_134) $65.99 $71.36 1.08x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Slayer\_134](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Slayer_134) $65.99 $113 1.71x 2026-11-10 18:52 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Slayer\_134](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Slayer_134) $65.99 $113 1.71x 2026-11-10 18:49 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $65.99 $96.46 1.46x 2026-11-09 09:27 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-field-tested) [novihnin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/novihnin) $65.99 $45.44 0.69x 2026-11-08 06:09 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) [repka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/repka) $65.99 $48.75 0.74x 2026-11-07 11:27 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [Eggshka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Eggshka) $65.99 $42.84 0.65x 2026-11-06 09:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $65.99 | 91.72% | 29 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $65.99 | 94.00% | 29 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 18.3% Immortal 8.6% covert knife 51.3% gold 12.6% Covert 3.0% #ffd700 6.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.72 on average: an expected loss of $8.28 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt