--- title: "Latentspace case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Latentspace ($11.19) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.94% from 25 items with odds, observed 86.75% over 170 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Latentspace](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Latentspace A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace?window=all) Price · $11.19 Advertised RTP · 93.94% · EV $10.51 from 25 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.75% · 170 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 68.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 51 openings · below min 30 days · 86.75% ±13.03 170 openings since tracking started · 86.75% ±13.03 170 openings 61.5% 85.8% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace?window=7d) | 51 | 85.73% ±23.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace) | 170 | 86.75% ±13.0 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/latentspace?window=all) | 170 | 86.75% ±13.0 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 170 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 45,455 | $532 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 4,405 | $226 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $62.50 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $54.97 | 3.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $52.30 | 3.9% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.49× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 117 | $51.01 | 4.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.37× | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $37.62 | 4.5% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $16.19 | 6.4% | 8 | 7.1 | 1.13× | | [UMP-45 \| Indigo (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-indigo-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $14.67 | 4.9% | 9 | 6.0 | 1.50× | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $14.02 | 7.5% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $12.83 | 7.9% | 14 | 11.0 | 1.27× | | [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $11.53 | 8.0% | 10 | 12.3 | 0.81× | | [MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $10.47 | 7.1% | 11 | 12.1 | 0.91× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Blue Titanium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $10.03 | 6.9% | 17 | 12.3 | 1.38× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $9.78 | 6.4% | 10 | 11.7 | 0.85× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Blue Titanium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $9.02 | 6.3% | 13 | 12.6 | 1.03× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $7.81 | 4.4% | 13 | 10.2 | 1.28× | | [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $6.80 | 3.7% | 11 | 9.6 | 1.15× | | [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5.52 | 2.7% | 5 | 8.7 | 0.58× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $4.16 | 1.7% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× | | [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $4.04 | 1.6% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $3.47 | 1.3% | 5 | 6.7 | 0.75× | | [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $3.23 | 1.2% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.93× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $3.01 | 1.1% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.26× | | [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $2.79 | 0.9% | 5 | 5.9 | 0.85× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/latentspace/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=latentspace) [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-field-tested) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $11.68 $11.53 0.99x 2026-11-05 18:42 UTC [USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) [BeαR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Be%CE%B1R) $11.68 $4.16 0.36x 2026-11-05 16:37 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [KOVALSKI007](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/KOVALSKI007) $11.68 $12.83 1.10x 2026-11-05 14:07 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-field-tested) [Just A User Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Just%20A%20User%20Name) $11.68 $11.53 0.99x 2026-11-05 13:59 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-factory-new) [Just A User Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Just%20A%20User%20Name) $11.68 $16.19 1.39x 2026-11-05 13:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) [Just A User Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Just%20A%20User%20Name) $11.68 $9.02 0.77x 2026-11-05 13:59 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) [Just A User Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Just%20A%20User%20Name) $11.68 $7.81 0.67x 2026-11-05 13:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) [Just A User Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Just%20A%20User%20Name) $11.68 $9.02 0.77x 2026-11-05 13:59 UTC [Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-battle-scarred) [Just A User Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Just%20A%20User%20Name) $11.68 $3.23 0.28x 2026-11-05 13:59 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) [Just A User Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Just%20A%20User%20Name) $11.68 $3.01 0.26x 2026-11-05 13:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $11.19 | 93.94% | 25 | | 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $11.68 | 90.00% | 25 | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.68 | 92.36% | 25 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.3% gold 0.8% classified 7.3% restricted 30.4% pink 4.2% consumer 8.6% mil spec 23.3% Legendary 6.9% Mil Spec 7.4% industrial 6.0% Mil Spec Grade 3.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.94 on average: an expected loss of $6.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt