---
title: "Mag 7 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Mag 7 ($0.64) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.46% from 36 items with odds, observed 105.80% over 84 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Mag 7](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Mag 7

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7?window=all)

Price · $0.64

Advertised RTP · 92.46% · EV $0.59 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 105.80% · 84 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 84 openings · below min

30 days · 84 openings · below min

since tracking started · 84 openings · below min

18.0% 155.0% 292.0%

**Small sample.** 84 openings and 16.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7?window=24h) | 3 | 155.21% ±136.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7?window=7d) | 84 | 105.80% ±25.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7) | 84 | 105.80% ±25.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mag7?window=all) | 84 | 105.80% ±25.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 129 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MAG-7 \| Irradiated Alert (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-irradiated-alert-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $93.94 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Counter Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 166,667 | $77.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55,556 | $36.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 40,000 | $31.76 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $20.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,579 | $13.19 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 2,801 | $11.11 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,497 | $8.26 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 607 | $5.50 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 388 | $4.49 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-factory-new) | 1 in 159 | $3.23 | 3.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-minimal-wear) | 1 in 107 | $2.85 | 4.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.65× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $2.12 | 4.5% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.23× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $1.81 | 4.9% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.95× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $1.31 | 6.2% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.67× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $1.29 | 6.7% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.01× |
| [MAG-7 \| Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $1.00 | 6.9% | 3 | 5.3 | 0.57× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.89 | 7.7% | 10 | 6.6 | 1.52× |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $0.75 | 6.6% | 5 | 6.7 | 0.75× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.69 | 8.2% | 9 | 9.1 | 0.99× |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.64 | 8.7% | 9 | 10.4 | 0.86× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.54 | 3.6% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.17× |
| [MAG-7 \| Resupply (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.49 | 3.3% | 8 | 5.1 | 1.56× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.41 | 2.8% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.40 | 2.7% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.32 | 2.2% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.17× |
| [MAG-7 \| Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.29 | 2.0% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.24 | 1.6% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× |
| [MAG-7 \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.20 | 1.3% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.17× |
| [MAG-7 \| Navy Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-navy-sheen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.20 | 1.3% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.14 | 0.9% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.58× |
| [MAG-7 \| Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.14 | 0.9% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× |
| [MAG-7 \| Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-navy-sheen-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.14 | 0.9% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.58× |
| [MAG-7 \| Wildwood (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-wildwood-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.14 | 0.9% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.09 | 0.6% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.58× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.08 | 0.5% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.97× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/mag7/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=mag7)

[MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) [𝑰𝑹𝑩𝑰𝑺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%91%B0%F0%9D%91%B9%F0%9D%91%A9%F0%9D%91%B0%F0%9D%91%BA) $0.64 $0.54 0.84x 2026-11-11 03:33 UTC

[MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-minimal-wear) [kmilss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kmilss) $0.64 $0.32 0.50x 2026-11-10 22:14 UTC

[MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-minimal-wear) [Goku](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Goku) $0.64 $2.12 3.31x 2026-11-10 15:27 UTC

[MAG-7 | Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) [Невесомость 😻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%20%F0%9F%98%BB) $0.64 $0.75 1.17x 2026-11-10 06:54 UTC

[MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $0.64 $0.64 1.00x 2026-11-09 17:59 UTC

[MAG-7 | Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $0.64 $0.75 1.17x 2026-11-09 17:17 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $0.64 $0.41 0.64x 2026-11-09 17:17 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-minimal-wear) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $0.64 $0.09 0.14x 2026-11-09 17:17 UTC

[MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-factory-new) [uu.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/uu.) $0.64 $0.49 0.77x 2026-11-09 17:07 UTC

[MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-factory-new) [Георгий Рябов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%93%D0%B5%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B3%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%A0%D1%8F%D0%B1%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.64 $1.81 2.83x 2026-11-09 14:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.64 | 92.46% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.64 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed consumer 8.1% mil spec 20.0% restricted 0.3% Consumer Grade 4.0% industrial 4.0% #87c7ff 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.1% Mythical 0.2% blue 24.9% Rare 10.1% violet 9.8% #8847ff 2.8% milspec 8.0% Common 4.0% other 4.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.46 on average: an expected loss of $7.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt