---
title: "Moto case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Moto ($154.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.19% from 29 items with odds, observed 95.28% over 3 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Moto](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Moto

A case on CSGORUN (gloves2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto?window=all)

Price · $154.99

Advertised RTP · 93.19% · EV $144.43 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.28% · 3 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 34.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 3 openings · below min

since tracking started · 3 openings · below min

4.0% 95.5% 187.0%

**Small sample.** 3 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto?window=7d) | 3 | 95.28% ±90.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto) | 3 | 95.28% ±90.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/moto?window=all) | 3 | 95.28% ±90.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $6,444 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,615 | $2,733 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) | 1 in 3,497 | $1,855 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 2,950 | $1,740 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,115 | $1,193 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 429 | $913 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) | 1 in 210 | $736 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $546 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $510 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $445 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $440 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $288 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $241 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $184 | 8.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $176 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $164 | 9.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $155 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $154 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $121 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $113 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $109 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $97.11 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $94.89 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $70.06 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $66.08 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $58.03 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $57.59 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $39.23 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $36.14 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/moto/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=moto)

[★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) [Тимофей Каплиёв](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%84%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%91%D0%B2) $155 $184 1.19x 2026-11-10 11:59 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) [Тимофей Каплиёв](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%84%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%91%D0%B2) $155 $94.89 0.61x 2026-11-10 11:59 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-minimal-wear) [Тимофей Каплиёв](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%84%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%91%D0%B2) $155 $164 1.06x 2026-11-10 11:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $155 | 93.19% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $155 | 94.00% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 74.7% legendary 0.0% epic 8.4% Extraordinary 11.9% Immortal 5.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.19 on average: an expected loss of $6.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt