--- title: "Norse case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Norse ($104.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.93% from 36 items with odds, observed 81.04% over 40 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse rendered: 2026-11-11T13:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Norse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Norse A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse?window=all) Price · $104.99 Advertised RTP · 92.93% · EV $97.57 from 36 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.04% · 40 openings, sample method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 40 openings · below min since tracking started · 40 openings · below min 65.0% 81.0% 97.0% **Small sample.** 40 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse?window=7d) | 40 | 81.04% ±15.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse) | 40 | 81.04% ±15.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/norse?window=all) | 40 | 81.04% ±15.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $13.1K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200,000 | $10.5K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 125,000 | $8,522 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18,868 | $3,156 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $2,895 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) | 1 in 22,222 | $2,761 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $437 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $409 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $398 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 138 | $378 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $366 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $351 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $332 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $324 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 88 | $314 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $222 | 5.2% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $115 | 8.3% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.79× | | [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $111 | 8.6% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.31× | | [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $106 | 4.3% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $105 | 9.1% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $103 | 4.1% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $93.01 | 3.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $92.18 | 3.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $81.02 | 3.3% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $76.64 | 3.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $75.28 | 3.0% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.91× | | [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $74.29 | 3.0% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $69.71 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Pyre (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-pyre-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $47.45 | 1.9% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $35.51 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $32.36 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.91× | | [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $18.87 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [Galil AR \| Tornado (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tornado-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $18.86 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [MP7 \| Scorched (Factory New) weapon · SMGs](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $17.07 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [MAG-7 \| Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-chainmail-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $14.04 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [MAG-7 \| Chainmail (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-chainmail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $13.73 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.91× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/norse/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=norse) [USP-S | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $31.57 0.30x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-field-tested) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $79.85 0.76x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-field-tested) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $79.85 0.76x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [SCAR-20 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-field-tested) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $84.26 0.80x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [USP-S | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $31.57 0.30x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [MAC-10 | Copper Borre (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $104 0.99x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [SCAR-20 | Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $117 1.12x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Moss Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $32.11 0.31x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [MAG-7 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-chainmail-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $14.13 0.13x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [MAG-7 | Chainmail (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-chainmail-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $105 $14.13 0.13x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $105 | 92.93% | 36 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $105 | 94.00% | 36 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 0.0% restricted 7.9% Mil Spec Grade 17.1% mil spec 35.7% blue 3.9% industrial 27.5% consumer 3.9% SMGs 3.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.93 on average: an expected loss of $7.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt