--- title: "Overpass 2024 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Overpass 2024 ($4.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.24% from 24 items with odds, observed 85.78% over 20 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Overpass 2024](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Overpass 2024 A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024?window=all) Price · $4.49 Advertised RTP · 94.24% · EV $4.23 from 24 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.78% · 20 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 20 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min 17.5% 85.8% 154.0% **Small sample.** 20 openings and 4.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024?window=7d) | 20 | 85.78% ±67.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024) | 20 | 85.78% ±67.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/overpass2024?window=all) | 20 | 85.78% ±67.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $329 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,817 | $140 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 1,057 | $76.11 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-factory-new) | 1 in 892 | $70.53 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 235 | $38.65 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-factory-new) | 1 in 229 | $37.97 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $21.90 | 7.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $19.91 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $10.98 | 9.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $6.84 | 9.8% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× | | [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $6.28 | 9.4% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $5.27 | 10.5% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.48× | | [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $3.78 | 5.3% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× | | [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $3.46 | 4.9% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× | | [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $3.28 | 4.6% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.11× | | [MAC-10 \| Pipsqueak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $2.59 | 3.6% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× | | [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $1.77 | 2.5% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× | | [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $1.73 | 2.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× | | [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $1.69 | 2.4% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× | | [Nova \| Wurst Hölle (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.53 | 2.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× | | [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.35 | 1.9% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [MAC-10 \| Pipsqueak (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.86 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.58 | 0.8% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× | | [Negev \| Wall Bang (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.53 | 0.7% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/overpass2024/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=overpass2024) [MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-factory-new) [ЭллОчка](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%AD%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%9E%D1%87%D0%BA%D0%B0) $4.49 $2.59 0.58x 2026-11-10 08:47 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $3.78 0.84x 2026-11-10 08:10 UTC [Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-factory-new) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $0.58 0.13x 2026-11-10 08:10 UTC [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-minimal-wear) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $3.46 0.77x 2026-11-10 08:10 UTC [XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-factory-new) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $5.27 1.17x 2026-11-10 08:10 UTC [Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-factory-new) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $0.58 0.13x 2026-11-10 08:09 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $10.98 2.45x 2026-11-10 08:09 UTC [XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-factory-new) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $5.27 1.17x 2026-11-10 08:09 UTC [XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-minimal-wear) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $3.28 0.73x 2026-11-10 08:09 UTC [XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-factory-new) [MIY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MIY) $4.49 $5.27 1.17x 2026-11-10 08:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $4.49 | 94.24% | 24 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $4.49 | 94.00% | 24 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% Ancient 0.0% rare 2.8% pink 1.4% #d32ce6 3.7% uncommon 26.8% Mythical 11.9% restricted 5.9% Rare 5.9% violet 11.9% milspec 11.9% blueLight 5.9% blue 5.9% #5e98d9 5.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.24 on average: an expected loss of $5.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt