---
title: "P 2000 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "P 2000 ($0.74) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.96% from 36 items with odds, observed 86.36% over 52 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [P 2000](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · P 2000

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000?window=all)

Price · $0.74

Advertised RTP · 91.96% · EV $0.68 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.36% · 52 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 5 openings · below min

7 days · 52 openings · below min

30 days · 52 openings · below min

since tracking started · 52 openings · below min

-0.5% 89.8% 180.0%

**Small sample.** 52 openings and 12.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000?window=24h) | 5 | 78.38% ±101.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000?window=7d) | 52 | 86.36% ±31.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000) | 52 | 86.36% ±31.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/p2000?window=all) | 52 | 86.36% ±31.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 94 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $98.62 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Grassland Leaves (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-leaves-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $79.47 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $54.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-factory-new) | 1 in 52,632 | $32.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $27.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-factory-new) | 1 in 8,772 | $17.04 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,891 | $12.77 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Ivory (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-factory-new) | 1 in 847 | $8.71 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) | 1 in 1,431 | $8.45 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 365 | $5.19 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 205 | $4.44 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $3.22 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 95 | $2.55 | 4.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Grassland (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $2.28 | 5.1% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.82× |
| [P2000 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $1.70 | 6.2% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.71× |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $1.29 | 6.5% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $1.28 | 6.8% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.19× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.97 | 6.8% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.87 | 7.6% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $0.77 | 6.9% | 9 | 5.7 | 1.57× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $0.72 | 8.9% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× |
| [P2000 \| Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.67 | 4.0% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.56 | 3.3% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.26× |
| [P2000 \| Sure Grip (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-sure-grip-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.51 | 3.0% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.31× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.41 | 2.4% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.39 | 2.3% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.52× |
| [P2000 \| Ivory (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.38 | 2.3% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.31× |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.34 | 2.0% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.31× |
| [P2000 \| Grip Tape (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.30 | 1.8% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.23 | 1.4% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.31× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.20 | 1.2% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.52× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.19 | 1.1% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.52× |
| [P2000 \| Coral Halftone (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coral-halftone-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.15 | 0.9% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.84× |
| [P2000 \| Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-sure-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.15 | 0.9% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× |
| [P2000 \| Marsh (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-marsh-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.14 | 0.8% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.26× |
| [P2000 \| Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.14 | 0.8% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.31× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/p2000/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=p2000)

[P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) [ПедикПоМатеше](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%9F%D0%BE%D0%9C%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B5%D1%88%D0%B5) $0.74 $0.34 0.46x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC

[P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) [ENTITYジ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ENTITY%E3%82%B8) $0.74 $0.72 0.97x 2026-11-10 19:10 UTC

[P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-minimal-wear) [Boboxon Sobirov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Boboxon%20Sobirov) $0.74 $0.30 0.41x 2026-11-10 16:03 UTC

[P2000 | Red Wing (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-factory-new) [MK\_Lover\_of\_old\_grannies:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MK_Lover_of_old_grannies%3A%29) $0.74 $0.77 1.04x 2026-11-10 14:16 UTC

[P2000 | Red Wing (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-factory-new) [MK\_Lover\_of\_old\_grannies:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MK_Lover_of_old_grannies%3A%29) $0.74 $0.77 1.04x 2026-11-10 14:16 UTC

[P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-minimal-wear) [Mr.Frodo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mr.Frodo) $0.74 $0.14 0.19x 2026-11-10 09:44 UTC

[P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) [Mr.Frodo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mr.Frodo) $0.74 $0.67 0.91x 2026-11-10 08:43 UTC

[P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) [Mr.Frodo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mr.Frodo) $0.74 $0.34 0.46x 2026-11-10 08:43 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [Коляска](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%BB%D1%8F%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0) $0.74 $0.20 0.27x 2026-11-10 04:36 UTC

[P2000 | Coral Halftone (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coral-halftone-field-tested) [Коляска](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%BB%D1%8F%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0) $0.74 $0.15 0.20x 2026-11-10 04:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.74 | 91.96% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.74 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 1.1% 3 3.6% classified 0.0% industrial 4.1% mil spec 13.2% restricted 0.1% Rare 23.6% pink 0.3% Industrial Grade 1.5% #8847ff 10.0% blue 10.1% #4b69ff 12.2% milspec 12.2% #5e98d9 4.1% Uncommon 4.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.96 on average: an expected loss of $8.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt