---
title: "Paracord case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Paracord ($62.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.90% from 28 items with odds, observed 85.96% over 37 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Paracord](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Paracord

A case on CSGORUN (knives2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord?window=all)

Price · $62.99

Advertised RTP · 92.90% · EV $58.52 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.96% · 37 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 39.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 37 openings · below min

30 days · 37 openings · below min

since tracking started · 37 openings · below min

41.0% 82.8% 124.5%

**Small sample.** 37 openings and 14.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord?window=24h) | 4 | 82.73% ±41.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord?window=7d) | 37 | 85.96% ±13.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord) | 37 | 85.96% ±13.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/paracord?window=all) | 37 | 85.96% ±13.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 76,923 | $1,356 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 907 | $295 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 811 | $285 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 586 | $264 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 547 | $224 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 348 | $207 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 285 | $187 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 229 | $164 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $139 | 1.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $123 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $106 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $89.61 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $86.55 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $76.12 | 3.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $72.60 | 4.4% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $69.64 | 5.2% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $57.17 | 6.5% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.02× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $55.15 | 6.3% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.21× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $54.80 | 6.3% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $53.35 | 6.1% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $53.05 | 6.1% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $51.43 | 5.9% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.62× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $49.71 | 5.7% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $46.29 | 5.3% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $45.87 | 5.2% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.21× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $44.49 | 5.1% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.62× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $42.78 | 4.9% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.62× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $41.95 | 4.8% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.62× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/paracord/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=paracord)

[★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) [AlanToms](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AlanToms) $62.99 $57.17 0.91x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [AlanToms](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AlanToms) $62.99 $42.78 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) [AlanToms](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AlanToms) $62.99 $55.15 0.88x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) [Pivchik11](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Pivchik11) $62.99 $53.35 0.85x 2026-11-10 15:08 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) [еблодав 3000](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B5%D0%B1%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%B2%203000) $62.99 $53.05 0.84x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $62.99 $72.60 1.15x 2026-11-09 20:07 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) [JustLuc1fer](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/JustLuc1fer) $62.99 $51.43 0.82x 2026-11-09 19:45 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) [dwoesss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/dwoesss) $62.99 $44.49 0.71x 2026-11-09 13:07 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $62.99 $41.95 0.67x 2026-11-09 11:10 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) [ZUM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ZUM) $62.99 $57.17 0.91x 2026-11-09 06:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $62.99 | 92.90% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $62.99 | 94.00% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 0.0% epic 0.8% #ffd700 6.8% gold 21.5% covert knife 51.8% rare 5.1% covert 7.3% Covert 6.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.90 on average: an expected loss of $7.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt