---
title: "Perchcase case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Perchcase ($124.55) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.99% from 76 items with odds, observed 60.26% over 3 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Perchcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Perchcase

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase?window=all)

Price · $124.55

Advertised RTP · 93.99% · EV $117.07 from 76 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 60.26% · 3 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 3 openings · below min

since tracking started · 3 openings · below min

-0.5% 95.0% 190.5%

**Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase?window=7d) | 3 | 60.26% ±129.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase) | 3 | 60.26% ±129.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/perchcase?window=all) | 3 | 60.26% ±129.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 76 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 71,429 | $3,916 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 52,632 | $3,399 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $2,992 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23,256 | $2,570 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17,241 | $2,179 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 9,346 | $1,740 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 9,709 | $1,695 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 6,944 | $1,621 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,623 | $1,517 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,319 | $1,456 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) | 1 in 6,536 | $1,340 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 3,205 | $1,232 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,032 | $1,216 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 2,037 | $1,145 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 2,618 | $1,137 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-field-tested) | 1 in 2,874 | $1,038 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) | 1 in 2,075 | $968 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-well-worn) | 1 in 1,996 | $965 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,656 | $953 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 1,466 | $913 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,344 | $842 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,284 | $815 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 1,166 | $799 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 504 | $737 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 545 | $653 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 576 | $646 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 600 | $627 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 600 | $627 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-factory-new) | 1 in 506 | $621 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 554 | $589 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 1 in 504 | $572 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 415 | $546 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-well-worn) | 1 in 495 | $537 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-battle-scarred) | 1 in 354 | $476 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 377 | $469 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 326 | $468 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-field-tested) | 1 in 419 | $451 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-field-tested) | 1 in 419 | $451 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 396 | $445 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 335 | $442 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-minimal-wear) | 1 in 309 | $420 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) | 1 in 273 | $412 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 302 | $411 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-field-tested) | 1 in 323 | $398 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 245 | $361 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 255 | $347 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $321 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $317 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 169 | $308 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 195 | $303 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173 | $288 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 171 | $283 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $264 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $257 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $254 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $251 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $249 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 88 | $215 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 94 | $210 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $191 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $177 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $141 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $133 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $118 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $118 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $109 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $99.02 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $90.74 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $89.13 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $66.08 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $62.64 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $60.79 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $58.03 | 3.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $56.06 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) | 11.8% | $39.23 | 4.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 16.5% | $32.73 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/perchcase/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=perchcase)

[★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) [raccoon\_legend](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/raccoon_legend) $127 $39.23 0.31x 2026-11-05 16:24 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) [supa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/supa) $127 $133 1.04x 2026-11-05 05:04 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $127 $58.03 0.46x 2026-11-05 00:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $125 | 93.99% | 76 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $127 | 92.06% | 76 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $127 | 92.96% | 76 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% legendary 0.8% extraordinary 79.4% sunny 4.2% rare 1.1% Extraordinary 2.6% Immortal 11.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.99 on average: an expected loss of $6.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt