---
title: "Platinum case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Platinum ($396.73) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.71% from 21 items with odds, observed 99.54% over 79 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Platinum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Platinum

A case on CSGORUN (vipcases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum?window=all)

Price · $396.73

Advertised RTP · 89.71% · EV $355.89 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.54% · 79 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 79 openings · below min

30 days · 79 openings · below min

since tracking started · 79 openings · below min

73.0% 99.8% 126.5%

**Small sample.** 79 openings and 10.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum?window=7d) | 79 | 99.54% ±26.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum) | 79 | 99.54% ±26.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum?window=all) | 79 | 99.54% ±26.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 79 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 3,984 | $7,944 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 398 | $3,100 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) | 1 in 127 | $2,024 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $1,814 | 5.6% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $1,742 | 5.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $1,740 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $1,522 | 5.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $1,411 | 6.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $1,151 | 6.6% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.24× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $877 | 8.2% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $816 | 8.7% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-stained-field-tested) | 11.4% | $307 | 9.8% | 6 | 9.0 | 0.67× |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 11.5% | $287 | 9.3% | 14 | 9.1 | 1.54× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Violet Beadwork (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-violet-beadwork-field-tested) | 10.2% | $224 | 6.4% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.24× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $177 | 4.6% | 3 | 7.3 | 0.41× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $138 | 3.1% | 4 | 6.4 | 0.63× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $109 | 2.3% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Creme Pinstripe (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $88.45 | 1.7% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $78.10 | 1.4% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $66.08 | 1.2% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $55.69 | 0.9% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/platinum/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $397 $1,814 4.57x 2026-11-07 11:45 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $397 $1,814 4.57x 2026-11-04 22:54 UTC

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $397 $1,814 4.57x 2026-11-04 22:53 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $397 $1,742 4.39x 2026-11-05 00:04 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $397 $1,742 4.39x 2026-11-04 22:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $397 $1,522 3.84x 2026-11-07 11:46 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $397 $1,522 3.84x 2026-11-04 22:53 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) [Пистолик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BA) $397 $1,411 3.56x 2026-11-06 19:54 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) [sekairotten](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/sekairotten) $397 $1,151 2.90x 2026-11-06 00:44 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $397 $1,151 2.90x 2026-11-04 22:53 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=platinum)

[★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $397 $138 0.35x 2026-11-09 19:58 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-field-tested) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $397 $88.45 0.22x 2026-11-09 18:44 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-violet-beadwork-field-tested) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $397 $224 0.57x 2026-11-09 18:39 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $397 $66.08 0.17x 2026-11-09 18:31 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) [Оранжевый градиент](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9E%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82) $397 $877 2.21x 2026-11-09 08:25 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-field-tested) [Оранжевый градиент](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9E%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82) $397 $88.45 0.22x 2026-11-09 08:25 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-stained-field-tested) [Оранжевый градиент](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9E%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82) $397 $307 0.77x 2026-11-09 08:25 UTC

[USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) [gogi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/gogi) $397 $287 0.72x 2026-11-09 06:37 UTC

[USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) [FullFaza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/FullFaza) $397 $287 0.72x 2026-11-08 19:34 UTC

[USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $397 $287 0.72x 2026-11-07 19:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $397 | 89.71% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $397 | 90.72% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% extraordinary 6.4% covert 11.4% epic 13.0% classified 12.9% covert knife 13.0% gold 3.3% Immortal 10.2% rare 16.1% Extraordinary 7.6% pink 5.9% best hit $1,814 (4.57x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.71 on average: an expected loss of $10.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt