---
title: "Sawedoff case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sawedoff ($0.48) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.78% from 36 items with odds, observed 97.32% over 178 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Sawedoff](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Sawedoff

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff?window=all)

Price · $0.48

Advertised RTP · 91.78% · EV $0.44 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.32% · 178 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 57.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 10 openings · below min

7 days · 97.32% ±15.58 178 openings

30 days · 97.32% ±15.58 178 openings

since tracking started · 97.32% ±15.58 178 openings

-0.5% 62.0% 124.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff?window=24h) | 10 | 58.13% ±65.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff?window=7d) | 178 | 97.32% ±15.6 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff) | 178 | 97.32% ±15.6 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sawedoff?window=all) | 178 | 97.32% ±15.6 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 253 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $73.89 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $49.50 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125,000 | $31.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55,556 | $24.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-factory-new) | 1 in 40,000 | $17.32 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $13.41 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Bamboo Shadow (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-bamboo-shadow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,066 | $7.43 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Bamboo Shadow (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-bamboo-shadow-factory-new) | 1 in 4,115 | $7.38 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Jungle Thicket (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-jungle-thicket-factory-new) | 1 in 933 | $4.59 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Jungle Thicket (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-jungle-thicket-minimal-wear) | 1 in 488 | $3.47 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-minimal-wear) | 1 in 217 | $2.58 | 2.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $2.08 | 3.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.54× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-factory-new) | 1 in 76 | $1.41 | 4.2% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $1.34 | 5.1% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.64× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $1.10 | 5.9% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.86 | 6.4% | 10 | 8.2 | 1.21× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Morris (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $0.75 | 7.4% | 10 | 11.0 | 0.91× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Fusion (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fusion-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $0.61 | 7.5% | 10 | 13.7 | 0.73× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Brake Light (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-brake-light-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.56 | 8.6% | 10 | 17.1 | 0.59× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.54 | 9.6% | 27 | 19.9 | 1.36× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $0.49 | 9.0% | 25 | 20.5 | 1.22× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Zander (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.43 | 3.7% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Parched (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-parched-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.32 | 2.8% | 6 | 9.7 | 0.62× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.29 | 2.5% | 6 | 9.7 | 0.62× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.29 | 2.5% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.93× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.22 | 1.9% | 8 | 9.7 | 0.83× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.20 | 1.7% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.93× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Fusion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fusion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.19 | 1.6% | 12 | 9.7 | 1.24× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Full Stop (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.17 | 1.5% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.16 | 1.4% | 15 | 9.7 | 1.55× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.15 | 1.3% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Parched (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-parched-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.14 | 1.2% | 7 | 9.7 | 0.72× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.13 | 1.1% | 7 | 9.7 | 0.72× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.12 | 1.0% | 14 | 9.7 | 1.45× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fusion-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.09 | 0.8% | 16 | 9.7 | 1.65× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.06 | 0.5% | 4 | 9.7 | 0.41× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/sawedoff/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=sawedoff)

[Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [Минон](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BD) $0.48 $0.16 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [kleaka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kleaka) $0.48 $0.16 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-factory-new) [ПедикПоМатеше](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%9F%D0%BE%D0%9C%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B5%D1%88%D0%B5) $0.48 $0.75 1.56x 2026-11-11 11:27 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-minimal-wear) [ПедикПоМатеше](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%9F%D0%BE%D0%9C%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B5%D1%88%D0%B5) $0.48 $0.17 0.35x 2026-11-11 11:27 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [Сергей Люлько](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A1%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9B%D1%8E%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BA%D0%BE) $0.48 $0.49 1.02x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [𝑰𝑹𝑩𝑰𝑺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%91%B0%F0%9D%91%B9%F0%9D%91%A9%F0%9D%91%B0%F0%9D%91%BA) $0.48 $0.16 0.33x 2026-11-11 03:34 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-parched-field-tested) [muō](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/mu%C5%8D) $0.48 $0.14 0.29x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-field-tested) [W Flyanix W](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/W%20Flyanix%20W) $0.48 $0.15 0.31x 2026-11-10 16:44 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-minimal-wear) [kleaka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kleaka) $0.48 $0.12 0.25x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [kleaka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kleaka) $0.48 $0.49 1.02x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.48 | 91.78% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.48 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 7.6% restricted 4.8% classified 0.0% #8847ff 0.0% Common 3.9% Consumer Grade 0.2% consumer 8.2% violet 0.5% #4b69ff 14.4% Industrial Grade 3.3% milspec 18.7% Rare 15.5% mil spec 3.8% blue 11.5% grey 3.8% industrial 3.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.78 on average: an expected loss of $8.22 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt