--- title: "Silver case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Silver ($181.81) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.83% from 22 items with odds, observed 96.53% over 135 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Silver](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Silver A case on CSGORUN (vipcases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver?window=all) Price · $181.81 Advertised RTP · 90.83% · EV $165.15 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.53% · 135 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 23.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 7 openings · below min 7 days · 99.02% ±17.38 126 openings 30 days · 96.53% ±16.79 135 openings since tracking started · 96.53% ±16.79 135 openings 12.5% 86.8% 161.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver?window=24h) | 7 | 86.82% ±73.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver?window=7d) | 126 | 99.02% ±17.4 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver) | 135 | 96.53% ±16.8 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/silver?window=all) | 135 | 96.53% ±16.8 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 135 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 1,099 | $2,205 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 696 | $1,637 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 393 | $1,411 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 134 | $894 | 4.0% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.99× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $599 | 4.9% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $591 | 5.5% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× | | [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $504 | 5.9% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $372 | 6.1% | 5 | 3.6 | 1.37× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $371 | 6.7% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $284 | 10.1% | 9 | 8.0 | 1.13× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $267 | 8.8% | 5 | 7.4 | 0.68× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $264 | 9.0% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.18× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $136 | 7.9% | 13 | 13.0 | 1.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $115 | 6.2% | 9 | 11.9 | 0.75× | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $85.42 | 3.9% | 13 | 10.3 | 1.27× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $79.03 | 3.7% | 17 | 10.3 | 1.65× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $70.14 | 3.1% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $69.60 | 3.1% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.12× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $57.80 | 2.3% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $44.07 | 1.6% | 9 | 7.9 | 1.13× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $40.84 | 1.3% | 5 | 7.4 | 0.68× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $32.73 | 1.0% | 3 | 6.8 | 0.44× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/silver/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [55](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/55) $182 $2,205 12.13x 2026-11-07 19:11 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $182 $894 4.92x 2026-11-09 18:43 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $182 $894 4.92x 2026-11-09 18:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-well-worn) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $182 $591 3.25x 2026-11-09 18:43 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-well-worn) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $182 $591 3.25x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC [★ Karambit | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $182 $504 2.77x 2026-11-09 18:42 UTC [★ Karambit | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $182 $504 2.77x 2026-11-09 18:40 UTC [★ Karambit | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) [Phoenix](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Phoenix) $182 $504 2.77x 2026-11-09 04:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=silver) [★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-field-tested) [AlanToms](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AlanToms) $182 $115 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $182 $371 2.04x 2026-11-10 21:14 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $182 $69.60 0.38x 2026-11-10 21:14 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-field-tested) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $182 $79.03 0.43x 2026-11-10 21:13 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) [fearless god.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/fearless%20god.) $182 $264 1.45x 2026-11-10 17:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $182 $69.60 0.38x 2026-11-10 17:12 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-field-tested) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $182 $136 0.75x 2026-11-10 17:12 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) [Владимир Коваленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%92%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%80%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $182 $70.14 0.39x 2026-11-10 12:11 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-field-tested) [Владимир Коваленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%92%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%80%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $182 $57.80 0.32x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-field-tested) [Владимир Коваленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%92%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%80%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $182 $79.03 0.43x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $182 | 90.83% | 22 | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $182 | 92.59% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.4% #ffd700 0.1% covert knife 6.1% covert 23.2% gold 1.5% Covert 5.5% sunny 5.6% epic 18.4% Immortal 7.6% classified 7.2% extraordinary 23.1% best hit $2,205 (12.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.83 on average: an expected loss of $9.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt