--- title: "Singularity case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Singularity ($128.33) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 25 items with odds, observed 108.35% over 68 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Singularity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Singularity A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity?window=all) Price · $128.33 Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $120.63 from 25 items Observed RTP, 30d · 108.35% · 68 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 28.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 56.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 44 openings · below min 30 days · 68 openings · below min since tracking started · 68 openings · below min 88.0% 112.3% 136.5% **Small sample.** 68 openings and 19.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity?window=7d) | 44 | 112.25% ±23.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity) | 68 | 108.35% ±19.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/singularity?window=all) | 68 | 108.35% ±19.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 68 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,584 | $2,208 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 431 | $911 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 163 | $649 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 150 | $614 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $589 | 3.5% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $292 | 5.4% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $203 | 5.4% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× | | [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $174 | 7.3% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.75× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $174 | 7.0% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.81× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $172 | 7.1% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $154 | 7.8% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.48× | | [★ Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $138 | 8.3% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $129 | 7.8% | 1 | 4.9 | 0.20× | | [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $128 | 8.0% | 11 | 5.2 | 2.13× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $97.11 | 5.3% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $72.29 | 3.3% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.87× | | [USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $66.21 | 2.9% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $59.25 | 2.4% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.19× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $49.34 | 1.8% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $48.75 | 1.7% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $46.90 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $40.47 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $40.04 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× | | [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $37.73 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $34.99 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/singularity/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [swag-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/swag-) $133 $952 7.15x 2026-11-03 07:33 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $649 4.88x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $589 4.43x 2026-11-05 16:12 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [Hssgsggse](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Hssgsggse) $133 $589 4.43x 2026-11-04 20:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=singularity) [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $649 4.88x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $46.90 0.35x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC [USP-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $66.21 0.50x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC [★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $174 1.31x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $37.73 0.28x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $589 4.43x 2026-11-05 16:12 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $40.47 0.30x 2026-11-05 16:12 UTC [AWP | Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) [advJONNY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/advJONNY) $133 $128 0.96x 2026-11-05 16:12 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) [Gfseydv Getedvh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Gfseydv%20Getedvh) $133 $292 2.19x 2026-11-05 08:54 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-battle-scarred) [Gfseydv Getedvh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Gfseydv%20Getedvh) $133 $174 1.31x 2026-11-05 08:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $128 | 94.00% | 25 | | 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $133 | 90.66% | 25 | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $133 | 92.76% | 25 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 32.2% sunny 12.4% gold 4.4% extraordinary 9.5% classified 10.8% industrial 5.5% restricted 14.1% covert knife 4.2% Ancient 6.9% best hit $952 (7.15x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt