---
title: "Skeleton case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Skeleton ($314.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 30 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Skeleton](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Skeleton

A case on CSGORUN (knives2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton?window=all)

Price · $314.99

Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $296.08 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 34.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skeleton?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 850 | $1,616 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $784 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $629 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $603 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $599 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $509 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $500 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $488 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $480 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $429 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $408 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $394 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $382 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $375 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $375 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $357 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $345 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $277 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $247 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $187 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $169 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $154 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $149 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $135 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $131 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $128 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $125 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $117 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $114 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $112 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/skeleton/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=skeleton)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $315 | 94.00% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $315 | 94.00% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 3.5% covert knife 30.3% #ffd700 5.9% gold 7.5% Covert 2.5% covert 23.4% Immortal 3.0% epic 19.7% rare 4.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt