---
title: "Skewers case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Skewers ($20.43) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.96% from 42 items with odds, observed 91.12% over 60 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Skewers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Skewers

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers?window=all)

Price · $20.43

Advertised RTP · 93.96% · EV $19.20 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.12% · 60 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 23 openings · below min

7 days · 58 openings · below min

30 days · 60 openings · below min

since tracking started · 60 openings · below min

11.0% 70.8% 130.5%

**Small sample.** 60 openings and 10.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers?window=24h) | 23 | 70.91% ±59.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers?window=7d) | 58 | 88.82% ±37.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers) | 60 | 91.12% ±36.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/skewers?window=all) | 60 | 91.12% ±36.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $8,093 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $7,548 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $5,910 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $2,729 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 166,667 | $1,649 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 90,909 | $1,284 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 71,429 | $1,175 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 43,478 | $928 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-well-worn) | 1 in 35,714 | $798 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 19,231 | $614 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) | 1 in 8,000 | $496 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 9,434 | $469 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-well-worn) | 1 in 4,717 | $358 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 3,040 | $296 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,433 | $292 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-battle-scarred) | 1 in 873 | $205 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 726 | $185 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 357 | $144 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 261 | $123 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 206 | $113 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $106 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $68.34 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $65.73 | 3.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $54.51 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $53.67 | 5.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $51.26 | 5.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $46.29 | 5.9% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $25.78 | 7.7% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.16× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $19.80 | 8.5% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $18.84 | 7.8% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| The End (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $16.73 | 6.7% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $13.97 | 4.9% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.74× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $12.68 | 4.6% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $12.18 | 4.3% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.48× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $10.68 | 3.6% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.76× |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6.06 | 1.6% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [P2000 \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $5.43 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $5.37 | 1.3% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $4.77 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $4.24 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $4.09 | 0.9% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.18× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $2.01 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.92× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/skewers/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=skewers)

[AWP | Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $53.67 2.63x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $19.80 0.97x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $18.84 0.92x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $12.68 0.62x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $25.78 1.26x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $12.18 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $12.18 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC

[Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $12.18 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC

[M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-factory-new) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $6.06 0.30x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC

[AWP | The End (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-minimal-wear) [Macvaer91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Macvaer91) $20.43 $16.73 0.82x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $20.43 | 93.96% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $20.77 | 92.43% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.77 | 94.54% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.1% high 0.0% classified 44.9% legendary 0.0% extraordinary 0.9% sunny 0.0% rare 0.1% restricted 11.2% gold 0.1% Legendary 1.8% uncommon 2.4% red 5.8% pink 11.9% Mythical 5.0% mil spec 4.5% #d32ee6 4.8% #8847ff 3.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.96 on average: an expected loss of $6.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt