--- title: "Slaughter case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Slaughter ($184.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.57% from 30 items with odds, observed 75.10% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Slaughter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Slaughter A case on CSGORUN (patterns2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter?window=all) Price · $184.99 Advertised RTP · 93.57% · EV $173.09 from 30 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.10% · 12 openings, sample method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 34.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 58.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 54.0% 75.3% 96.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter?window=7d) | 12 | 75.10% ±20.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter) | 12 | 75.10% ±20.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/slaughter?window=all) | 12 | 75.10% ±20.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,049 | $1,452 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,475 | $1,107 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 608 | $953 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 643 | $880 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 325 | $662 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 214 | $531 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $504 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $427 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $375 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $304 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $288 | 4.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $270 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $248 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $233 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $225 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $214 | 8.5% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $195 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $163 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $137 | 3.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $125 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $118 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $116 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $111 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $108 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $107 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $105 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $91.13 | 2.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $89.25 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $84.79 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $81.08 | 2.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/slaughter/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=slaughter) [★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $185 $137 0.74x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $185 $107 0.58x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $185 $81.08 0.44x 2026-11-06 14:16 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [sekairotten](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/sekairotten) $185 $214 1.15x 2026-11-06 00:58 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $185 $203 1.10x 2026-11-05 20:34 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $185 $81.10 0.44x 2026-11-05 20:34 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $185 $92.79 0.50x 2026-11-05 20:34 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $185 $118 0.64x 2026-11-05 20:34 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $185 $304 1.64x 2026-11-05 20:33 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $185 $115 0.62x 2026-11-05 20:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $185 | 93.57% | 30 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $185 | 94.00% | 30 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 90.3% extraordinary 0.5% covert knife 4.7% Immortal 4.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.57 on average: an expected loss of $6.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt