---
title: "Snackbar case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Snackbar ($0.29) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.03% from 42 items with odds, observed 98.56% over 14K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Snackbar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Snackbar

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar?window=all)

Price · $0.29

Advertised RTP · 92.03% · EV $0.27 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.56% · 14K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.17% ±15.19 645 openings

7 days · 98.88% ±3.38 13K openings

30 days · 98.56% ±3.27 14K openings

since tracking started · 98.56% ±3.27 14K openings

75.5% 91.3% 107.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 91.99% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (95.29% – 101.83%, 13,976 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar?window=24h) | 645 | 91.17% ±15.2 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar?window=7d) | 13K | 98.88% ±3.38 | +4.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar) | 14K | 98.56% ±3.27 | +3.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar?window=all) | 14K | 98.56% ±3.27 | +3.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $317 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $250 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $189 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $118 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $77.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-well-worn) | 1 in 500,000 | $52.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $34.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-factory-new) | 1 in 166,667 | $21.83 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 66,667 | $14.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 41,667 | $11.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-factory-new) | 1 in 27,778 | $9.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18,519 | $8.04 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 7,299 | $5.86 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.57× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,012 | $4.36 | 0.5% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.29× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,521 | $4.24 | 0.5% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) | 1 in 858 | $2.47 | 1.1% | 12 | 16.3 | 0.74× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 210 | $1.67 | 3.0% | 94 | 66.4 | 1.41× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-well-worn) | 1 in 331 | $1.57 | 1.8% | 42 | 42.2 | 1.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 158 | $1.31 | 3.1% | 94 | 88.3 | 1.06× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 127 | $1.09 | 3.2% | 109 | 110.3 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $0.81 | 5.0% | 244 | 230.2 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $0.72 | 3.5% | 173 | 183.4 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $0.64 | 3.8% | 213 | 220.3 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $0.63 | 4.3% | 259 | 252.2 | 1.03× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $0.58 | 5.1% | 336 | 325.3 | 1.03× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $0.48 | 5.5% | 447 | 426.1 | 1.05× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $0.44 | 6.7% | 557 | 566.7 | 0.98× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.35 | 6.8% | 699 | 730.0 | 0.96× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.35 | 6.5% | 721 | 697.8 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $0.32 | 7.2% | 897 | 842.5 | 1.06× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $0.30 | 6.8% | 881 | 842.5 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.17 | 4.0% | 863 | 872.6 | 0.99× |
| [MP5-SD \| Picnic (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $0.17 | 4.1% | 879 | 893.1 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.16 | 3.9% | 931 | 920.5 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.15 | 3.5% | 877 | 861.5 | 1.02× |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.14 | 3.2% | 884 | 861.5 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.12 | 2.7% | 829 | 849.7 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.10 | 2.2% | 796 | 809.3 | 0.98× |
| [Tec-9 \| Banana Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-banana-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.02 | 0.3% | 550 | 600.1 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| Team Liquid \| Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-budapest-2025) | 1 in 26 | $0.01 | 0.1% | 537 | 527.6 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Team Spirit \| Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-budapest-2025) | 1 in 26 | $0.01 | 0.1% | 486 | 527.6 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| ropz \| Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-budapest-2025) | 1 in 23 | $0.01 | 0.2% | 553 | 600.1 | 0.92× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/snackbar/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new) [lemo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/lemo) $0.29 $189 650.1x 2026-11-06 01:52 UTC

[Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-factory-new) [®¥Apostle¥®](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C2%AE%C2%A5Apostle%C2%A5%C2%AE) $0.29 $21.83 75.28x 2026-11-10 05:52 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=snackbar)

[Desert Eagle | Mudder (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-minimal-wear) [905033152](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/905033152) $0.29 $0.16 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC

[Sticker | Team Spirit | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-budapest-2025) [905033152](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/905033152) $0.29 $0.01 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC

[Sticker | Team Spirit | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-budapest-2025) [Кент парламента](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0) $0.29 $0.01 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Кент парламента](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0) $0.29 $0.12 0.41x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC

[Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) [Кент парламента](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0) $0.29 $0.14 0.48x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) [Кент парламента](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0) $0.29 $0.48 1.66x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC

[Sticker | ropz | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-budapest-2025) [Кент парламента](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0) $0.29 $0.01 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) [Кент парламента](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0) $0.29 $0.30 1.03x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC

[Sticker | Team Liquid | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-budapest-2025) [Кент парламента](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0) $0.29 $0.01 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-minimal-wear) [Кент парламента](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9A%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0) $0.29 $0.17 0.59x 2026-11-11 11:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.29 | 92.03% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.29 | 90.96% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 6.6% covert 0.0% rare 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% red 0.0% pink 0.0% restricted 12.4% Mythical 0.0% classified 0.0% #d32ee6 0.0% Rare 12.3% mil spec 1.3% #8847ff 1.8% violet 8.3% blueLight 4.1% #4b69ff 12.1% Uncommon 12.4% #5e98d9 6.4% industrial 12.2% milspec 5.8% light blue 4.3% best hit $189 (650.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.03 on average: an expected loss of $7.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt