---
title: "Snakebite case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Snakebite ($1.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 96.66% from 36 items with odds, observed 93.70% over 355 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Snakebite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Snakebite

A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite?window=all)

Price · $1.99

Advertised RTP · 96.66% · EV $1.92 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.70% · 355 openings, sample method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 66 openings · below min

7 days · 355 openings · below min

30 days · 355 openings · below min

since tracking started · 355 openings · below min

60.5% 83.8% 107.0%

**Small sample.** 355 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite?window=24h) | 66 | 83.70% ±22.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite?window=7d) | 355 | 93.70% ±7.99 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite) | 355 | 93.70% ±7.99 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snakebite?window=all) | 355 | 93.70% ±7.99 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 355 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $292 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $191 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $133 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $97.11 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125,000 | $63.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 45,455 | $49.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 13,889 | $33.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 11,111 | $32.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 1,486 | $16.49 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 976 | $15.77 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) | 1 in 550 | $12.26 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $7.19 | 2.8% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117 | $6.79 | 3.0% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $5.24 | 3.7% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $5.06 | 4.3% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $4.36 | 5.3% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.72× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $3.80 | 5.7% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.88× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $3.77 | 5.3% | 10 | 9.7 | 1.03× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $3.75 | 5.6% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.88× |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $3.71 | 15.8% | 39 | 29.1 | 1.34× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $3.47 | 7.4% | 8 | 14.5 | 0.55× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $3.02 | 7.2% | 21 | 16.2 | 1.29× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $2.74 | 8.0% | 27 | 20.0 | 1.35× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $1.64 | 4.1% | 16 | 16.9 | 0.95× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.99 | 2.4% | 15 | 16.9 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.92 | 2.3% | 14 | 16.9 | 0.83× |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.90 | 2.2% | 16 | 16.9 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.89 | 2.2% | 24 | 16.9 | 1.42× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.76 | 1.9% | 8 | 16.9 | 0.47× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.76 | 1.9% | 20 | 16.9 | 1.19× |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.64 | 1.6% | 17 | 16.9 | 1.01× |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.51 | 1.3% | 16 | 16.9 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.38 | 0.9% | 20 | 16.9 | 1.19× |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.36 | 0.9% | 12 | 16.9 | 0.71× |
| [Nova \| Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.28 | 0.7% | 18 | 16.9 | 1.07× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.26 | 0.6% | 14 | 16.9 | 0.83× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/snakebite/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=snakebite)

[Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $1.99 $0.38 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC

[Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) [Heзабываemый](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/He%D0%B7%D0%B0%D0%B1%D1%8B%D0%B2%D0%B0em%D1%8B%D0%B9) $1.99 $0.28 0.14x 2026-11-11 04:36 UTC

[UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) [шелест мочи](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D1%88%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%82%20%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%87%D0%B8) $1.99 $0.36 0.18x 2026-11-10 20:16 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) [шелест мочи](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D1%88%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%82%20%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%87%D0%B8) $1.99 $0.26 0.13x 2026-11-10 20:16 UTC

[Negev | dev\_texture (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-factory-new) [GiganticNax](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/GiganticNax) $1.99 $3.71 1.86x 2026-11-10 19:24 UTC

[Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) [\_Voovcheg\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/_Voovcheg_) $1.99 $0.28 0.14x 2026-11-10 19:16 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $1.99 $0.26 0.13x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

[Negev | dev\_texture (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-factory-new) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $1.99 $3.71 1.86x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

[P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-minimal-wear) [.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/) $1.99 $0.76 0.38x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) [.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/) $1.99 $0.26 0.13x 2026-11-10 18:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $1.99 | 96.66% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.99 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.0% red 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 4.8% Legendary 6.4% restricted 2.2% Mythical 7.1% violet 17.7% #8847ff 14.5% milspec 9.3% Rare 19.0% #4b69ff 4.8% blue 9.5% Mil Spec 4.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.66 on average: an expected loss of $3.34 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt