---
title: "Specialist case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Specialist ($279.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.86% from 29 items with odds, observed 64.98% over 3 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Specialist](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Specialist

A case on CSGORUN (gloves2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist?window=all)

Price · $279.99

Advertised RTP · 92.86% · EV $260.00 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 64.98% · 3 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 3 openings · below min

since tracking started · 3 openings · below min

-0.5% 85.0% 170.5%

**Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist?window=7d) | 3 | 64.98% ±104.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist) | 3 | 64.98% ±104.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/specialist?window=all) | 3 | 64.98% ±104.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 71,429 | $13.2K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 5,814 | $5,197 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-factory-new) | 1 in 5,587 | $5,140 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 752 | $2,570 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-factory-new) | 1 in 835 | $2,046 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 287 | $1,695 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 147 | $1,284 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $953 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Minimal Wear) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $845 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $713 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $547 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $442 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Big Swell (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-big-swell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $379 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $340 | 8.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $317 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $283 | 9.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $251 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $232 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Chocolate Chesterfield (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-chocolate-chesterfield-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $172 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $145 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $141 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $133 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $125 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $118 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $89.13 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Chocolate Chesterfield (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-chocolate-chesterfield-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $87.62 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $84.70 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $63.05 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $43.88 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/specialist/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=specialist)

[★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-field-tested) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $280 $118 0.42x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $280 $283 1.01x 2026-11-06 14:12 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $280 $145 0.52x 2026-11-06 14:12 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $280 | 92.86% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $280 | 94.00% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 71.8% legendary 7.8% sunny 5.2% #eb4b4b 1.5% gold 4.6% Immortal 9.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.86 on average: an expected loss of $7.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt