--- title: "Spectrum 2 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spectrum 2 ($7.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.61% from 38 items with odds, observed 70.06% over 51 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Spectrum 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Spectrum 2 A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2?window=all) Price · $7.99 Advertised RTP · 91.61% · EV $7.32 from 38 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.06% · 51 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 53.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 51 openings · below min 30 days · 51 openings · below min since tracking started · 51 openings · below min 44.0% 70.0% 96.0% **Small sample.** 51 openings and 13.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2?window=7d) | 51 | 70.06% ±25.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2) | 51 | 70.06% ±25.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/spectrum2?window=all) | 51 | 70.06% ±25.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 51 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $509 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $354 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250,000 | $275 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 71,429 | $172 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 35,714 | $158 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 10,870 | $102 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 10,101 | $101 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,608 | $87.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 3,367 | $73.49 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 3,378 | $71.38 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,096 | $67.33 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,247 | $66.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 1,199 | $61.02 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 1,290 | $58.42 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,495 | $57.68 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 805 | $50.51 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 582 | $46.66 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 509 | $44.47 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 249 | $30.44 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 148 | $28.12 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $22.56 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $12.54 | 7.7% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $11.76 | 9.5% | 6 | 3.0 | 1.99× | | [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $11.55 | 8.6% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $11.27 | 10.3% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $11.07 | 10.4% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $11.04 | 10.7% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.67× | | [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $10.94 | 9.7% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $6.60 | 4.8% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× | | [MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $3.06 | 2.2% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $2.61 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $2.44 | 1.8% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.19× | | [SG 553 \| Phantom (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $2.08 | 1.5% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.83× | | [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $1.92 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× | | [AUG \| Triqua (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $1.45 | 1.1% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $1.40 | 1.0% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.46× | | [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $1.25 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× | | [SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $1.22 | 0.9% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.46× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/spectrum2/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=spectrum2) [UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-factory-new) [○SKYBI○](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%E2%97%8BSKYBI%E2%97%8B) $7.99 $1.92 0.24x 2026-11-10 05:47 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) [Незнающий побед](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B7%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%8E%D1%89%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%B1%D0%B5%D0%B4) $7.99 $11.07 1.39x 2026-11-09 22:11 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-minimal-wear) [orpheus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/orpheus) $7.99 $1.40 0.18x 2026-11-08 19:12 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) [SUBZERO02](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/SUBZERO02) $7.99 $2.61 0.33x 2026-11-08 14:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) [Polughoul](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Polughoul) $7.99 $11.04 1.38x 2026-11-08 01:12 UTC [SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-factory-new) [Polughoul](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Polughoul) $7.99 $2.08 0.26x 2026-11-08 01:12 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) [Polughoul](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Polughoul) $7.99 $11.04 1.38x 2026-11-08 01:12 UTC [R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) [Pivchik11](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Pivchik11) $7.99 $11.55 1.45x 2026-11-08 00:29 UTC [XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-factory-new) [Pivchik11](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Pivchik11) $7.99 $2.44 0.31x 2026-11-08 00:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) [PL4YERONE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/PL4YERONE) $7.99 $11.04 1.38x 2026-11-07 08:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $7.99 | 91.61% | 38 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $7.99 | 94.00% | 38 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.8% Covert 0.0% gold 0.0% sunny 0.0% #ffd700 0.1% classified 27.6% Rare 4.5% pink 13.4% mil spec 5.4% restricted 26.8% violet 10.7% milspec 5.4% Mythical 5.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.61 on average: an expected loss of $8.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt