---
title: "Sportfield case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sportfield ($5.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.93% from 21 items with odds, observed 87.95% over 141 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Sportfield](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Sportfield

A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield?window=all)

Price · $5.49

Advertised RTP · 92.93% · EV $5.10 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.95% · 141 openings, sample method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 141 openings · below min

30 days · 141 openings · below min

since tracking started · 141 openings · below min

-0.5% 125.8% 252.0%

**Small sample.** 141 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield?window=24h) | 1 | 11.29% ±240.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield?window=7d) | 141 | 87.95% ±19.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield) | 141 | 87.95% ±19.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield?window=all) | 141 | 87.95% ±19.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 141 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125,000 | $221 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 62,500 | $172 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-factory-new) | 1 in 637 | $47.21 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $26.66 | 7.1% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $21.39 | 8.1% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.46× |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $19.94 | 10.8% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $19.88 | 10.7% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.52× |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $19.83 | 10.0% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.82× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $14.95 | 14.0% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $4.88 | 6.7% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $4.12 | 5.6% | 4 | 9.8 | 0.41× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $3.00 | 4.1% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $2.77 | 3.8% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2.27 | 3.1% | 13 | 9.8 | 1.32× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $2.25 | 3.1% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2.19 | 3.0% | 7 | 9.8 | 0.71× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2.19 | 3.0% | 13 | 9.8 | 1.32× |
| [Nova \| Yorkshire (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-yorkshire-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1.23 | 1.7% | 16 | 9.8 | 1.63× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1.12 | 1.5% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [SSG 08 \| Zeno (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.92 | 1.3% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.12× |
| [P250 \| Small Game (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-small-game-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.62 | 0.8% | 7 | 9.8 | 0.71× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/sportfield/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=sportfield)

[P250 | Small Game (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-small-game-factory-new) [NoMeet](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/NoMeet) $5.49 $0.62 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:14 UTC

[MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) [Бобр жора](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%91%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%80%20%D0%B6%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B0) $5.49 $2.19 0.40x 2026-11-06 20:34 UTC

[USP-S | Alpine Camo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-factory-new) [Бобр жора](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%91%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%80%20%D0%B6%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B0) $5.49 $1.12 0.20x 2026-11-06 20:32 UTC

[Nova | Yorkshire (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-yorkshire-factory-new) [БАБИ КУТЕ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%91%D0%98%20%D0%9A%D0%A3%D0%A2%D0%95) $5.49 $1.23 0.22x 2026-11-06 16:25 UTC

[Nova | Yorkshire (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-yorkshire-factory-new) [evil верити 88418](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/evil%20%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B8%2088418) $5.49 $1.23 0.22x 2026-11-06 04:07 UTC

[UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $5.49 $2.29 0.42x 2026-11-05 20:03 UTC

[MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $5.49 $3.04 0.55x 2026-11-05 20:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-field-tested) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $5.49 $2.28 0.42x 2026-11-05 20:03 UTC

[UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $5.49 $2.29 0.42x 2026-11-05 20:03 UTC

[MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $5.49 $3.04 0.55x 2026-11-05 20:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $5.49 | 92.93% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $5.49 | 94.00% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% rare 9.0% classified 2.6% restricted 11.8% violet 34.9% Mythical 7.0% uncommon 7.0% #4b69ff 7.0% blue 7.0% milspec 13.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.93 on average: an expected loss of $7.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt