---
title: "Ssg 08 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Ssg 08 ($1.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.60% from 36 items with odds, observed 89.49% over 88 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Ssg 08](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Ssg 08

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08?window=all)

Price · $1.49

Advertised RTP · 92.60% · EV $1.38 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.49% · 88 openings, sample method

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 58.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 88 openings · below min

30 days · 88 openings · below min

since tracking started · 88 openings · below min

-0.5% 79.0% 158.5%

**Small sample.** 88 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08?window=24h) | 4 | 73.99% ±84.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08?window=7d) | 88 | 89.49% ±18.1 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08) | 88 | 89.49% ±18.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ssg08?window=all) | 88 | 89.49% ±18.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 88 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $221 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $139 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500,000 | $91.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Mayan Dreams (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mayan-dreams-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $60.64 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 1 in 76,923 | $43.16 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-factory-new) | 1 in 27,778 | $31.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 15,152 | $26.47 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $18.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-factory-new) | 1 in 1,689 | $16.17 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-minimal-wear) | 1 in 778 | $9.58 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $7.81 | 1.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-factory-new) | 1 in 173 | $6.20 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $4.83 | 3.9% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $4.04 | 4.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× |
| [SSG 08 \| Spring Twilly (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $3.14 | 5.5% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.94× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $2.54 | 7.7% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [SSG 08 \| Azure Glyph (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-azure-glyph-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $2.37 | 8.8% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× |
| [SSG 08 \| Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $2.13 | 9.9% | 11 | 5.6 | 1.95× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.99 | 10.4% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.63× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1.87 | 11.4% | 5 | 7.4 | 0.68× |
| [SSG 08 \| Spring Twilly (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.59 | 4.5% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $1.27 | 3.6% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× |
| [SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.12 | 3.2% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.16× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.97 | 2.7% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× |
| [SSG 08 \| Calligrafaux (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-calligrafaux-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.94 | 2.7% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.16× |
| [SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.87 | 2.5% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blush Pour (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blush-pour-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.68 | 1.9% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× |
| [SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.59 | 1.7% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.49 | 1.4% | 7 | 3.4 | 2.04× |
| [SSG 08 \| Zeno (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.49 | 1.4% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× |
| [SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.46 | 1.3% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× |
| [SSG 08 \| Halftone Whorl (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-halftone-whorl-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.44 | 1.2% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blush Pour (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blush-pour-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.37 | 1.0% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× |
| [SSG 08 \| Zeno (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.28 | 0.8% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× |
| [SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.26 | 0.7% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× |
| [SSG 08 \| Memorial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-memorial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.22 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/ssg08/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=ssg08)

[SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $1.49 $0.26 0.17x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $1.49 $2.54 1.70x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC

[SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-field-tested) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $1.49 $1.12 0.75x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-field-tested) [Дима Чекушка](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%94%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%20%D0%A7%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%83%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%B0) $1.49 $0.49 0.33x 2026-11-10 23:14 UTC

[SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-azure-glyph-factory-new) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $1.49 $2.37 1.59x 2026-11-09 18:14 UTC

[SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blush-pour-minimal-wear) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $1.49 $0.37 0.25x 2026-11-09 18:14 UTC

[SSG 08 | Zeno (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-field-tested) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $1.49 $0.28 0.19x 2026-11-09 18:14 UTC

[SSG 08 | Zeno (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-minimal-wear) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $1.49 $0.49 0.33x 2026-11-09 18:13 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-minimal-wear) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $1.49 $1.27 0.85x 2026-11-09 18:13 UTC

[SSG 08 | Zeno (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-minimal-wear) [EbuWashRot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/EbuWashRot) $1.49 $0.49 0.33x 2026-11-09 18:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $1.49 | 92.60% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.49 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.0% covert 0.0% Industrial Grade 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 6.3% #5E98D9 0.0% consumer 0.1% violet 0.7% restricted 12.6% common 1.1% mil spec 24.4% #4b69ff 8.1% blueLight 5.1% blue 18.1% #5e98d9 7.8% Rare 7.8% gray 3.9% Consumer Grade 3.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.60 on average: an expected loss of $7.40 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt