---
title: "Stickers case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Stickers ($0.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.19% from 38 items with odds, observed 90.53% over 705 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Stickers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Stickers

A case on CSGORUN (rarity2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers?window=all)

Price · $0.99

Advertised RTP · 93.19% · EV $0.92 from 38 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.53% · 705 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 55.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 22 openings · below min

7 days · 90.53% ±7.53 705 openings

30 days · 90.53% ±7.53 705 openings

since tracking started · 90.53% ±7.53 705 openings

49.5% 92.5% 135.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers?window=24h) | 22 | 92.42% ±42.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers?window=7d) | 705 | 90.53% ±7.53 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers) | 705 | 90.53% ±7.53 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/stickers?window=all) | 705 | 90.53% ±7.53 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,089 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| v4lde (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-v4lde-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 500,000 | $163 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2016) | 1 in 250,000 | $94.65 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Luminosity Gaming (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-luminosity-gaming-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 142,857 | $78.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| ZywOo (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-gold-rio-2022) | 1 in 83,333 | $50.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics \| Katowice 2015 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-katowice-2015) | 1 in 47,619 | $35.66 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| FalleN (Gold) \| Austin 2025 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-gold-austin-2025) | 1 in 19,608 | $25.97 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| device (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-device-gold-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 8,333 | $17.62 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Fnatic \| Katowice 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-katowice-2015) | 1 in 3,448 | $13.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sticker \| Movistar Riders (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-movistar-riders-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 1,658 | $11.13 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) | 1 in 708 | $8.19 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.95× |
| [Sticker \| FURIA (Holo) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-holo-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 348 | $6.23 | 1.9% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Avangar \| Boston 2018 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-avangar-boston-2018) | 1 in 180 | $4.77 | 2.9% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.66× |
| [Sticker \| XANTARES (Gold) \| Austin 2025 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-xantares-gold-austin-2025) | 1 in 112 | $3.48 | 3.4% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| IHC Esports (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ihc-esports-holo-rio-2022) | 1 in 79 | $2.93 | 4.0% | 13 | 13.7 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Perfect World (Holo) \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-perfect-world-holo-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 54 | $2.58 | 5.2% | 21 | 20.2 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| AMKAL ESPORTS (Holo) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-amkal-esports-holo-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 40 | $1.94 | 5.3% | 26 | 27.5 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Wildcard (Holo) \| Austin 2025 sticker · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-wildcard-holo-austin-2025) | 1 in 29 | $1.73 | 6.4% | 37 | 37.4 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Austin 2025 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-austin-2025) | 1 in 22 | $1.52 | 7.6% | 52 | 49.9 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) | 1 in 18 | $1.28 | 7.9% | 52 | 62.0 | 0.84× |
| [Sticker \| 9z Team (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-9z-team-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 15 | $1.23 | 9.1% | 75 | 74.6 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Gold) \| Austin 2025 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-gold-austin-2025) | 1 in 13 | $1.10 | 9.2% | 92 | 84.4 | 1.09× |
| [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · 9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 12 | $1.05 | 9.6% | 102 | 91.7 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| Fluxo (Holo) \| Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-holo-budapest-2025) | 1 in 29 | $0.79 | 3.0% | 30 | 37.9 | 0.79× |
| [Sticker \| StarLadder (Foil) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil-berlin-2019) | 1 in 29 | $0.72 | 2.7% | 38 | 37.9 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| MIBR (Holo) \| Budapest 2025 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-holo-budapest-2025) | 1 in 29 | $0.66 | 2.5% | 41 | 37.9 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| Lake (Holo) \| Austin 2025 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lake-holo-austin-2025) | 1 in 29 | $0.62 | 2.3% | 33 | 37.9 | 0.87× |
| [Sticker \| Gold Web sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web) | 1 in 29 | $0.58 | 2.2% | 32 | 37.9 | 0.84× |
| [Sticker \| ENCE (Glitter) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ence-glitter-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 29 | $0.54 | 2.0% | 42 | 37.9 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) | 1 in 29 | $0.44 | 1.7% | 41 | 37.9 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| donk \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-donk-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 29 | $0.35 | 1.3% | 36 | 37.9 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Ho Ho Ho sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ho-ho-ho) | 1 in 29 | $0.33 | 1.2% | 43 | 37.9 | 1.14× |
| [Sticker \| Hello UMP-45 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-ump-45) | 1 in 29 | $0.30 | 1.1% | 40 | 37.9 | 1.06× |
| [Sticker \| Clown Nose sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-nose) | 1 in 29 | $0.25 | 0.9% | 43 | 37.9 | 1.14× |
| [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Glitter) \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-glitter-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 29 | $0.24 | 0.9% | 37 | 37.9 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| From The Deep sticker · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep) | 1 in 29 | $0.20 | 0.8% | 24 | 37.9 | 0.63× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Charge sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge) | 1 in 29 | $0.17 | 0.6% | 43 | 37.9 | 1.14× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Trail (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-trail-glitter) | 1 in 29 | $0.15 | 0.6% | 36 | 37.9 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Scorch Loop sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scorch-loop) | 1 in 29 | $0.14 | 0.5% | 41 | 37.9 | 1.08× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/stickers/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=stickers)

[Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Austin 2025 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-austin-2025) [Hellwayss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Hellwayss) $0.99 $1.52 1.54x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) [bulqtmng](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/bulqtmng) $0.99 $1.28 1.29x 2026-11-11 11:38 UTC

[Sticker | Fluxo (Holo) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fluxo-holo-budapest-2025) [Максим Кукленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%9A%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $0.99 $0.79 0.80x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC

[Sticker | 3DMAX (Glitter) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-glitter-shanghai-2024) [Максим Кукленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%9A%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $0.99 $0.24 0.24x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC

[Sticker | MIBR (Holo) | Budapest 2025 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-holo-budapest-2025) [Максим Кукленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%9A%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $0.99 $0.66 0.67x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC

[Sticker | Lake (Holo) | Austin 2025 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lake-holo-austin-2025) [sevdiyor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/sevdiyor) $0.99 $0.62 0.63x 2026-11-10 20:05 UTC

[Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · 9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-antwerp-2022) [sevdiyor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/sevdiyor) $0.99 $1.05 1.06x 2026-11-10 20:02 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere (Gold) | Austin 2025 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-gold-austin-2025) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $0.99 $1.10 1.11x 2026-11-10 18:37 UTC

[Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Austin 2025 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-austin-2025) [Goku](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Goku) $0.99 $1.52 1.54x 2026-11-10 18:12 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere (Gold) | Austin 2025 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-gold-austin-2025) [Goku](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Goku) $0.99 $1.10 1.11x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.99 | 93.19% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.99 | 94.00% | 38 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 9 8.4% extraordinary 0.0% Mythical 3.6% exotic 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.9% pink 11.5% other 4.7% high 3.5% remarkable 3.5% Legendary 11.6% Rare 7.5% uncommon 3.4% violet 5.7% #8847ff 10.3% Ancient 7.8% Exotic 3.5% common 3.5% #4b69ff 7.0% milspec 3.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.19 on average: an expected loss of $6.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt