---
title: "Tandem case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tandem ($8.30) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.99% from 49 items with odds, observed 98.61% over 132 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Tandem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Tandem

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem?window=all)

Price · $8.30

Advertised RTP · 93.99% · EV $7.80 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.61% · 132 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 94 openings · below min

30 days · 98.61% ±21.77 132 openings

since tracking started · 98.61% ±21.77 132 openings

72.5% 99.0% 125.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem?window=7d) | 94 | 99.00% ±25.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem) | 132 | 98.61% ±21.8 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tandem?window=all) | 132 | 98.61% ±21.8 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 132 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $5,286 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500,000 | $1,324 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $911 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $680 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 166,667 | $614 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 45,455 | $288 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37,037 | $275 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $161 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $127 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 5,814 | $127 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,460 | $97.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,754 | $78.67 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,068 | $73.50 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 698 | $62.35 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 631 | $53.33 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 411 | $47.55 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 279 | $42.22 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 255 | $40.85 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 190 | $34.24 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $32.73 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 142 | $27.40 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 118 | $23.99 | 2.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $23.37 | 2.9% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.56× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $18.95 | 3.1% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $17.40 | 3.6% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $15.46 | 3.1% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $13.49 | 4.2% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $13.17 | 3.3% | 8 | 2.6 | 3.07× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $12.39 | 3.9% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $11.94 | 4.9% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.41× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $11.37 | 3.3% | 6 | 3.0 | 2.00× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $10.48 | 4.3% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.19× |
| [AWP \| The End (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $8.69 | 4.1% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.03× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $7.81 | 4.3% | 9 | 5.7 | 1.59× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $7.19 | 4.3% | 9 | 6.1 | 1.47× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $6.88 | 4.1% | 11 | 6.1 | 1.80× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $6.70 | 4.0% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $5.81 | 3.4% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $5.45 | 3.2% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.16× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $5.36 | 3.2% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.83× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $4.80 | 2.8% | 3 | 6.0 | 0.50× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $4.09 | 2.4% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.33× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.01 | 2.3% | 10 | 6.0 | 1.67× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $3.32 | 1.9% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.34× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $1.98 | 1.1% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $1.85 | 1.1% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $1.44 | 0.8% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.12 | 0.1% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [MP9 \| Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bee-tron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.01 | 0.0% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/tandem/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=tandem)

[USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $8.30 $6.70 0.81x 2026-11-09 20:44 UTC

[AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-well-worn) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $1.85 0.22x 2026-11-09 05:58 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $10.48 1.26x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $7.81 0.94x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $7.81 0.94x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $5.45 0.66x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $10.48 1.26x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC

[USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $3.32 0.40x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $4.80 0.58x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $8.30 $11.94 1.44x 2026-11-09 05:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $8.30 | 93.99% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $8.31 | 93.88% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.31 | 94.63% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.1% sunny 0.0% legendary 0.0% rare 0.0% Covert 0.2% extraordinary 0.6% covert knife 0.5% gold 0.9% classified 35.2% mil spec 7.1% Legendary 7.1% pink 12.5% Industrial Grade 4.6% industrial 8.7% restricted 13.4% #4b69ff 4.4% #b0c3d9 3.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.99 on average: an expected loss of $6.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt