---
title: "Teacat case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Teacat ($6.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 37 items with odds, observed 91.78% over 2,817 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Teacat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Teacat

A case on CSGORUN (hype2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat?window=all)

Price · $6.99

Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $6.57 from 37 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.78% · 2,817 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 51.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.79% ±10.77 330 openings

7 days · 91.78% ±3.69 2,817 openings

30 days · 91.78% ±3.69 2,817 openings

since tracking started · 91.78% ±3.69 2,817 openings

76.5% 87.8% 99.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat?window=24h) | 330 | 87.79% ±10.8 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat?window=7d) | 2,817 | 91.78% ±3.69 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat) | 2,817 | 91.78% ±3.69 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/teacat?window=all) | 2,817 | 91.78% ±3.69 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,072 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $1,740 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $968 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 1 in 125,000 | $479 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $470 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 58,824 | $343 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21,277 | $217 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Garden (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 13,514 | $183 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Chocolate Chesterfield (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-chocolate-chesterfield-field-tested) | 1 in 2,128 | $87.62 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 1,046 | $69.79 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 1 in 946 | $64.88 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× |
| [MP7 \| Teal Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-teal-blossom-field-tested) | 1 in 601 | $52.23 | 1.3% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 332 | $46.59 | 2.1% | 16 | 9.2 | 1.73× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $19.80 | 5.4% | 55 | 54.7 | 1.01× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $12.66 | 9.8% | 129 | 156.3 | 0.83× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $10.24 | 8.6% | 171 | 170.1 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $10.14 | 7.9% | 142 | 156.7 | 0.91× |
| [Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $9.21 | 8.1% | 162 | 177.8 | 0.91× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $9.18 | 7.4% | 164 | 163.0 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $8.26 | 9.5% | 236 | 232.4 | 1.02× |
| [MP5-SD \| Autumn Twilly (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $7.33 | 9.4% | 248 | 257.6 | 0.96× |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $7.05 | 3.5% | 107 | 101.5 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $5.26 | 2.6% | 105 | 101.5 | 1.03× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $5.05 | 2.5% | 111 | 101.5 | 1.09× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $4.99 | 2.5% | 91 | 101.5 | 0.90× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $4.88 | 2.5% | 97 | 101.5 | 0.96× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $4.69 | 2.4% | 91 | 101.5 | 0.90× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $4.12 | 2.1% | 106 | 101.5 | 1.04× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $3.46 | 1.7% | 119 | 101.5 | 1.17× |
| [SG 553 \| Berry Gel Coat (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-berry-gel-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $3.07 | 1.5% | 105 | 101.5 | 1.03× |
| [XM1014 \| Watchdog (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $2.65 | 1.3% | 75 | 101.5 | 0.74× |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $1.71 | 0.9% | 89 | 101.5 | 0.88× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $1.66 | 0.8% | 105 | 101.5 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $1.53 | 0.8% | 95 | 101.5 | 0.94× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Wild Berry (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $1.28 | 0.6% | 110 | 101.5 | 1.08× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $1.09 | 0.5% | 90 | 101.5 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $1.08 | 0.5% | 106 | 101.5 | 1.04× |
| [P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cocoa-rampage-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $0.82 | 0.2% | 76 | 56.3 | 1.35× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/teacat/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=teacat)

[MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-minimal-wear) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $7.33 1.05x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-minimal-wear) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $10.14 1.45x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-factory-new) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $4.88 0.70x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cocoa-rampage-field-tested) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $0.82 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $10.24 1.46x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $10.24 1.46x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $1.53 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-minimal-wear) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $1.66 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-minimal-wear) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $1.28 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-factory-new) [желейки](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%B9%D0%BA%D0%B8) $6.99 $9.18 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $6.99 | 94.00% | 37 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% restricted 24.1% classified 8.8% Immortal 0.1% other 0.2% mil spec 1.8% pink 5.1% #4b69ff 9.1% Rare 14.2% Mythical 15.0% Legendary 3.3% violet 6.6% blue 5.1% Mil Spec Grade 3.3% milspec 3.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt