---
title: "Tec 9 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tec 9 ($0.55) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.30% from 36 items with odds, observed 97.51% over 412 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Tec 9](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Tec 9

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9?window=all)

Price · $0.55

Advertised RTP · 93.30% · EV $0.51 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.51% · 412 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 13 openings · below min

7 days · 97.51% ±11.01 412 openings

30 days · 97.51% ±11.01 412 openings

since tracking started · 97.51% ±11.01 412 openings

27.0% 89.5% 152.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9?window=24h) | 13 | 89.37% ±61.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9?window=7d) | 412 | 97.51% ±11.0 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9) | 412 | 97.51% ±11.0 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tec9?window=all) | 412 | 97.51% ±11.0 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 445 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 333,333 | $84.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) | 1 in 166,667 | $50.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 83,333 | $32.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) | 1 in 47,619 | $25.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) | 1 in 17,241 | $16.88 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) | 1 in 8,929 | $12.54 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Ossified (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ossified-factory-new) | 1 in 3,774 | $8.89 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,522 | $6.49 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Jambiya (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-jambiya-factory-new) | 1 in 841 | $6.04 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) | 1 in 465 | $4.03 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173 | $2.91 | 3.3% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.94× |
| [Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $2.45 | 4.0% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.35× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $1.79 | 4.6% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.03× |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $1.41 | 5.2% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $1.18 | 5.5% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.31× |
| [Tec-9 \| Groundwater (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $1.04 | 6.2% | 18 | 13.7 | 1.31× |
| [Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.98 | 6.5% | 19 | 15.1 | 1.26× |
| [Tec-9 \| Phoenix Chalk (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-phoenix-chalk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.84 | 7.3% | 12 | 19.9 | 0.60× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.67 | 7.8% | 28 | 26.7 | 1.05× |
| [Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.59 | 9.1% | 34 | 35.0 | 0.97× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.58 | 9.1% | 26 | 36.0 | 0.72× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.53 | 4.1% | 22 | 17.7 | 1.24× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.44 | 3.4% | 16 | 17.7 | 0.90× |
| [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.40 | 3.1% | 13 | 17.7 | 0.73× |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.32 | 2.5% | 16 | 17.7 | 0.90× |
| [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.26 | 2.0% | 21 | 17.7 | 1.19× |
| [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.24 | 1.9% | 25 | 17.7 | 1.41× |
| [Tec-9 \| VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-varicamo-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.23 | 1.8% | 20 | 17.7 | 1.13× |
| [Tec-9 \| Garter-9 (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-garter-9-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.16 | 1.2% | 18 | 17.7 | 1.02× |
| [Tec-9 \| Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.15 | 1.2% | 23 | 17.7 | 1.30× |
| [Tec-9 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.13 | 1.0% | 8 | 17.7 | 0.45× |
| [Tec-9 \| Citric Acid (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-citric-acid-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.13 | 1.0% | 17 | 17.7 | 0.96× |
| [Tec-9 \| Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.12 | 0.9% | 14 | 17.7 | 0.79× |
| [Tec-9 \| Slag (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-slag-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.11 | 0.9% | 17 | 17.7 | 0.96× |
| [Tec-9 \| Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.09 | 0.7% | 17 | 17.7 | 0.96× |
| [Tec-9 \| Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.08 | 0.6% | 21 | 17.7 | 1.19× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/tec9/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=tec9)

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [kosoy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kosoy) $0.55 $0.09 0.16x 2026-11-11 01:05 UTC

[Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-minimal-wear) [Luis](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Luis) $0.55 $0.26 0.47x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) [Luis](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Luis) $0.55 $0.44 0.80x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC

[Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-slag-minimal-wear) [Luis](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Luis) $0.55 $0.11 0.20x 2026-11-10 20:42 UTC

[Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-field-tested) [Luis](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Luis) $0.55 $0.24 0.44x 2026-11-10 20:42 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-minimal-wear) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $0.55 $1.18 2.15x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-minimal-wear) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $0.55 $0.67 1.22x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC

[Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rebel-minimal-wear) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $0.55 $0.15 0.27x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-minimal-wear) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $0.55 $0.67 1.22x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC

[Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $0.55 $0.13 0.24x 2026-11-10 19:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.55 | 93.30% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.55 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed mil spec 12.5% restricted 21.9% classified 0.0% Industrial Grade 0.0% #4b69ff 4.0% Rare 8.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.1% blue 8.2% consumer 11.5% violet 13.9% industrial 8.0% #5e98d9 4.0% Uncommon 4.0% #b0c3d9 4.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.30 on average: an expected loss of $6.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt