---
title: "Tigertooth case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tigertooth ($179.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.92% from 30 items with odds, observed 89.07% over 9 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Tigertooth](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Tigertooth

A case on CSGORUN (patterns2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth?window=all)

Price · $179.99

Advertised RTP · 92.92% · EV $167.25 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.07% · 9 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 9 openings · below min

30 days · 9 openings · below min

since tracking started · 9 openings · below min

51.0% 89.3% 127.5%

**Small sample.** 9 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth?window=7d) | 9 | 89.07% ±37.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth) | 9 | 89.07% ±37.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tigertooth?window=all) | 9 | 89.07% ±37.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,848 | $1,485 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,264 | $1,120 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 648 | $900 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 360 | $696 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 302 | $637 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 210 | $557 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 129 | $459 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $394 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $350 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $304 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $301 | 4.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $283 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $268 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $250 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $217 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $185 | 7.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $173 | 8.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $168 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $137 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $135 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $135 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $131 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $118 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $106 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $104 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $93.79 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $91.43 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $90.38 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $66.48 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $66.36 | 1.9% | 2 | 0.4 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/tigertooth/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=tigertooth)

[★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $66.36 0.37x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $185 1.03x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $173 0.96x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $118 0.66x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $66.36 0.37x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $93.79 0.52x 2026-11-07 11:21 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $350 1.94x 2026-11-07 11:21 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $90.38 0.50x 2026-11-06 15:32 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $180 $301 1.67x 2026-11-06 15:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $180 | 92.92% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $180 | 94.00% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 66.1% epic 12.0% #ffd700 5.8% legendary 2.0% Covert 4.7% gold 4.7% sunny 4.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.92 on average: an expected loss of $7.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt