--- title: "Vertigo case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vertigo ($1.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.62% from 14 items with odds, observed 92.39% over 353 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Vertigo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Vertigo A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo?window=all) Price · $1.99 Advertised RTP · 91.62% · EV $1.82 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.39% · 353 openings, sample method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 49.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 353 openings · below min 30 days · 353 openings · below min since tracking started · 353 openings · below min -0.5% 74.0% 148.5% **Small sample.** 353 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo?window=24h) | 4 | 64.07% ±83.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo?window=7d) | 353 | 92.39% ±5.09 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo) | 353 | 92.39% ±5.09 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vertigo?window=all) | 353 | 92.39% ±5.09 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 353 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 90,909 | $223 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 8,772 | $47.67 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,092 | $43.69 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 4,082 | $37.17 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 1,433 | $22.75 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 1 in 431 | $14.40 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $4.92 | 6.4% | 11 | 8.3 | 1.32× | | [PP-Bizon \| Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $4.31 | 5.6% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× | | [PP-Bizon \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $4.29 | 6.0% | 9 | 8.9 | 1.01× | | [XM1014 \| Urban Perforated (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $2.99 | 6.9% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.02× | | [MAC-10 \| Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $2.82 | 9.6% | 18 | 22.0 | 0.82× | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.61 | 7.3% | 26 | 17.9 | 1.45× | | [MAC-10 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 26.8% | $1.38 | 20.3% | 89 | 94.7 | 0.94× | | [XM1014 \| Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) | 50.1% | $1.24 | 34.1% | 176 | 176.8 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/vertigo/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=vertigo) [MAC-10 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-field-tested) [Crouses1s](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Crouses1s) $1.99 $1.38 0.69x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC [XM1014 | Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) [Пицот](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D1%86%D0%BE%D1%82) $1.99 $1.24 0.62x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC [XM1014 | Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) [Пицот](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D1%86%D0%BE%D1%82) $1.99 $1.24 0.62x 2026-11-11 14:54 UTC [XM1014 | Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) [Пицот](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D1%86%D0%BE%D1%82) $1.99 $1.24 0.62x 2026-11-11 14:54 UTC [XM1014 | Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $1.99 $1.24 0.62x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC [XM1014 | Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $1.99 $1.24 0.62x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC [XM1014 | Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $1.99 $1.24 0.62x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC [XM1014 | Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $1.99 $1.24 0.62x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-minimal-wear) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $1.99 $4.92 2.47x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC [PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-carbon-fiber-factory-new) [orpheus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/orpheus) $1.99 $4.29 2.16x 2026-11-10 17:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $1.99 | 91.62% | 14 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.99 | 94.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 2.5% consumer 31.0% restricted 0.2% other 2.4% industrial 2.5% Consumer Grade 6.2% #4b69ff 5.1% Common 50.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.62 on average: an expected loss of $8.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt