---
title: "Vitality team case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Vitality team ($37.25) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.98% from 42 items with odds, observed 88.82% over 52 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Vitality team](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Vitality team

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team?window=all)

Price · $37.25

Advertised RTP · 93.98% · EV $35.01 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.82% · 52 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 50 openings · below min

30 days · 52 openings · below min

since tracking started · 52 openings · below min

37.5% 87.8% 138.0%

**Small sample.** 52 openings and 9.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team?window=7d) | 50 | 87.53% ±49.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team) | 52 | 88.82% ±48.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-team?window=all) | 52 | 88.82% ±48.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 52 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $35.7K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $13.2K | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $12.2K | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $11.3K | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 250,000 | $5,029 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 125,000 | $3,100 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $2,729 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41,667 | $1,635 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31,250 | $1,522 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,331 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 15,385 | $1,231 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13,158 | $1,120 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 9,434 | $911 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 3,953 | $703 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,650 | $662 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,841 | $629 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 3,096 | $591 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,789 | $504 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 750 | $380 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 312 | $249 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $200 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 102 | $155 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $127 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $119 | 4.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $115 | 5.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $76.11 | 6.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.24× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $71.48 | 7.2% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.18× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $63.00 | 7.7% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $47.21 | 11.8% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.88× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $30.27 | 7.7% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $28.08 | 7.4% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.41× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $20.49 | 4.2% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $19.10 | 3.9% | 8 | 3.7 | 2.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $15.46 | 2.8% | 5 | 3.3 | 1.49× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $13.13 | 2.0% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $13.08 | 2.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $10.04 | 1.5% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $6.88 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $6.59 | 0.8% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $5.74 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $5.08 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $3.02 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.11× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/vitality_team/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=vitality-team)

[M4A1-S | Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $37.25 $6.88 0.18x 2026-11-10 18:07 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $37.25 $30.27 0.81x 2026-11-09 22:47 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $37.25 $20.49 0.55x 2026-11-09 22:47 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $37.25 $30.27 0.81x 2026-11-09 22:35 UTC

[USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $37.25 $19.10 0.51x 2026-11-08 18:37 UTC

[USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $37.25 $19.10 0.51x 2026-11-08 18:37 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $37.25 $30.27 0.81x 2026-11-08 18:37 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-well-worn) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $37.25 $5.08 0.14x 2026-11-08 18:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $37.25 $20.49 0.55x 2026-11-08 18:23 UTC

[M4A4 | Hellish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-battle-scarred) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $37.25 $10.04 0.27x 2026-11-08 18:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $37.25 | 93.98% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $38.03 | 92.05% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $38.03 | 93.43% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 1.6% covert 0.3% contraband 0.0% classified 25.1% epic 1.6% Covert 0.0% sunny 0.0% covert knife 3.6% #eb4b4b 0.7% pink 5.1% restricted 7.2% rare 23.4% Ancient 4.3% red 9.3% Legendary 12.7% Classified 5.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.98 on average: an expected loss of $6.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt