---
title: "White case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "White ($9.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 40 items with odds, observed 92.19% over 298 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [White](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · White

A case on CSGORUN (palette2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white?window=all)

Price · $9.99

Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $9.39 from 40 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.19% · 298 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.59% ±16.37 117 openings

7 days · 92.19% ±10.26 298 openings

30 days · 92.19% ±10.26 298 openings

since tracking started · 92.19% ±10.26 298 openings

76.5% 93.5% 110.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white?window=24h) | 117 | 93.59% ±16.4 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white?window=7d) | 298 | 92.19% ±10.3 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white) | 298 | 92.19% ±10.3 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/white?window=all) | 298 | 92.19% ±10.3 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 385 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 333,333 | $550 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200,000 | $440 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 90,909 | $345 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37,037 | $252 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 16,393 | $210 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,937 | $154 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $118 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,988 | $93.74 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 960 | $70.14 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 474 | $58.49 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 272 | $51.26 | 2.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 163 | $38.13 | 2.5% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $35.20 | 3.1% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $28.20 | 3.5% | 7 | 4.4 | 1.58× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $25.81 | 6.1% | 5 | 8.5 | 0.59× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $24.51 | 4.4% | 7 | 6.5 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $19.71 | 6.1% | 8 | 11.1 | 0.72× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.29 | 7.5% | 16 | 18.9 | 0.85× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $14.19 | 6.5% | 15 | 16.5 | 0.91× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $12.64 | 7.4% | 26 | 21.2 | 1.23× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $12.56 | 7.8% | 13 | 22.5 | 0.58× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $11.07 | 8.0% | 24 | 26.0 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $9.52 | 9.2% | 23 | 34.9 | 0.66× |
| [Galil AR \| Shattered (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $8.18 | 2.7% | 15 | 12.1 | 1.24× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $8.04 | 2.7% | 14 | 12.1 | 1.16× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $7.22 | 2.4% | 11 | 12.1 | 0.91× |
| [P90 \| Schematic (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-schematic-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $6.33 | 2.1% | 9 | 12.1 | 0.74× |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $5.16 | 1.7% | 15 | 12.1 | 1.24× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $4.88 | 1.6% | 10 | 12.1 | 0.83× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $4.01 | 1.3% | 12 | 12.1 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $3.81 | 1.3% | 15 | 12.1 | 1.24× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $3.28 | 1.1% | 9 | 12.1 | 0.74× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $3.00 | 1.0% | 10 | 12.1 | 0.83× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $2.70 | 0.9% | 12 | 12.1 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $2.61 | 0.9% | 12 | 12.1 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $2.02 | 0.7% | 8 | 12.1 | 0.66× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $1.84 | 0.6% | 9 | 12.1 | 0.74× |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.66 | 0.6% | 16 | 12.1 | 1.32× |
| [Negev \| Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.44 | 0.5% | 11 | 12.1 | 0.91× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $1.32 | 0.4% | 9 | 12.1 | 0.74× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/white/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=white)

[Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) [FRIZYX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/FRIZYX) $9.99 $1.44 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) [FRIZYX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/FRIZYX) $9.99 $9.52 0.95x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [FRIZYX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/FRIZYX) $9.99 $35.20 3.52x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) [®¥Apostle¥®](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C2%AE%C2%A5Apostle%C2%A5%C2%AE) $9.99 $1.44 0.14x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) [®¥Apostle¥®](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C2%AE%C2%A5Apostle%C2%A5%C2%AE) $9.99 $1.84 0.18x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC

[Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-minimal-wear) [®¥Apostle¥®](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C2%AE%C2%A5Apostle%C2%A5%C2%AE) $9.99 $14.19 1.42x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC

[Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) [Re5ven csgorun](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Re5ven%20csgorun) $9.99 $1.66 0.17x 2026-11-11 08:10 UTC

[Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-minimal-wear) [Re5ven csgorun](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Re5ven%20csgorun) $9.99 $14.19 1.42x 2026-11-11 08:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) [Re5ven csgorun](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Re5ven%20csgorun) $9.99 $14.29 1.43x 2026-11-11 08:10 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [Re5ven csgorun](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Re5ven%20csgorun) $9.99 $8.04 0.80x 2026-11-11 08:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $9.99 | 94.00% | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% epic 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% red 0.1% classified 19.0% restricted 24.9% Ancient 0.8% mil spec 11.1% Legendary 4.9% uncommon 4.3% Mythical 12.1% pink 6.7% Mil Spec 3.1% violet 3.1% milspec 3.1% #4b69ff 3.1% Mil Spec Grade 3.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt