---
title: "Yohan case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Yohan ($0.33) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.36% from 49 items with odds, observed 92.68% over 5,327 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Yohan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Yohan

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan?window=all)

Price · $0.33

Advertised RTP · 93.36% · EV $0.31 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.68% · 5,327 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.11% ±31.51 190 openings

7 days · 91.64% ±6.87 4,002 openings

30 days · 92.68% ±5.97 5,327 openings

since tracking started · 92.68% ±5.97 5,327 openings

57.0% 89.3% 121.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan?window=24h) | 190 | 89.11% ±31.5 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan?window=7d) | 4,002 | 91.64% ±6.87 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan) | 5,327 | 92.68% ±5.97 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yohan?window=all) | 5,327 | 92.68% ±5.97 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,327 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $394 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $357 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $182 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $177 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $140 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $101 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $71.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500,000 | $67.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500,000 | $59.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100,000 | $25.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 83,333 | $20.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) | 1 in 58,824 | $18.04 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 19,608 | $11.86 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 13,889 | $11.21 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $7.03 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,184 | $6.44 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,941 | $5.74 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 3,185 | $5.03 | 0.5% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.39× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) | 1 in 779 | $3.02 | 1.3% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.17× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $1.41 | 4.6% | 53 | 54.0 | 0.98× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $1.35 | 3.9% | 41 | 47.4 | 0.87× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $1.18 | 4.0% | 55 | 55.2 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $0.81 | 5.2% | 99 | 106.1 | 0.93× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $0.68 | 5.0% | 129 | 121.5 | 1.06× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.67 | 5.1% | 133 | 124.0 | 1.07× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $0.53 | 4.5% | 138 | 138.0 | 1.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Shred (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-shred-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.41 | 5.9% | 214 | 234.8 | 0.91× |
| [XM1014 \| Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.36 | 6.8% | 306 | 312.1 | 0.98× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $0.35 | 6.9% | 308 | 324.8 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.32 | 6.6% | 373 | 340.1 | 1.10× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $0.31 | 6.5% | 354 | 346.6 | 1.02× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.28 | 5.6% | 359 | 326.7 | 1.10× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Electric Blue (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $0.25 | 4.3% | 281 | 284.3 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| s-chilla \| Shanghai 2024 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s-chilla-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 47 | $0.21 | 1.5% | 105 | 113.8 | 0.92× |
| [Nova \| Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.21 | 3.6% | 312 | 284.3 | 1.10× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.20 | 3.0% | 244 | 245.4 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.18 | 2.7% | 251 | 245.4 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Sky Blue (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.16 | 2.4% | 248 | 245.4 | 1.01× |
| [MP5-SD \| Co-Processor (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.15 | 2.1% | 203 | 228.7 | 0.89× |
| [P90 \| Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.14 | 1.7% | 186 | 201.9 | 0.92× |
| [MAC-10 \| Acid Hex (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.13 | 1.6% | 200 | 201.9 | 0.99× |
| [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $0.06 | 0.6% | 161 | 161.9 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $0.05 | 0.4% | 118 | 127.0 | 0.93× |
| [P250 \| Facility Draft (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $0.04 | 0.2% | 83 | 83.8 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| ZywOo \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 54 | $0.04 | 0.2% | 111 | 99.6 | 1.12× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 64 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 86 | 83.8 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Vitality \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vitality-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 123 | $0.01 | 0.0% | 39 | 43.3 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| w0nderful \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-w0nderful-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 81 | $0.01 | 0.0% | 56 | 65.7 | 0.85× |
| [Sticker \| Grayhound Gaming \| Paris 2023 sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grayhound-gaming-paris-2023) | 1 in 81 | $0.01 | 0.0% | 65 | 65.7 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/yohan/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=yohan)

[P90 | Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-field-tested) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.33 $0.14 0.42x 2026-11-11 09:00 UTC

[MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-factory-new) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.33 $0.13 0.39x 2026-11-11 09:00 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.33 $0.05 0.15x 2026-11-11 09:00 UTC

[Sticker | Grayhound Gaming | Paris 2023 sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grayhound-gaming-paris-2023) [temu\_w0rker](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/temu_w0rker) $0.33 $0.01 0.03x 2026-11-11 01:17 UTC

[P90 | Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-battle-scarred) [Volchonok052](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Volchonok052) $0.33 $0.20 0.61x 2026-11-10 19:20 UTC

[MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-factory-new) [Volchonok052](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Volchonok052) $0.33 $0.13 0.39x 2026-11-10 19:20 UTC

[Sticker | s-chilla | Shanghai 2024 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s-chilla-shanghai-2024) [Volchonok052](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Volchonok052) $0.33 $0.21 0.64x 2026-11-10 19:20 UTC

[XM1014 | Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-minimal-wear) [Volchonok052](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Volchonok052) $0.33 $0.36 1.09x 2026-11-10 19:20 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-battle-scarred) [Volchonok052](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Volchonok052) $0.33 $0.35 1.06x 2026-11-10 19:20 UTC

[Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-field-tested) [Volchonok052](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Volchonok052) $0.33 $0.21 0.64x 2026-11-10 19:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.33 | 93.36% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.33 | 92.04% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 5.9% 7 1.2% #ffd700 0.0% gold 0.0% covert 0.0% rare 0.1% Ancient 0.0% red 0.0% restricted 5.6% classified 0.1% #8847ff 6.1% Mythical 0.0% pink 0.0% violet 1.9% Restricted 2.3% Rare 11.6% mil spec 9.0% blue 10.7% Uncommon 6.5% milspec 16.1% uncommon 5.3% other 2.1% common 8.4% Common 3.0% #5e98d9 2.4% Consumer Grade 1.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.36 on average: an expected loss of $6.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt