---
title: "11.11 VIP v2 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "11.11 VIP v2 ($99.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.75% from 23 items with odds, observed 99.51% over 463 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [11.11 VIP v2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · 11.11 VIP v2

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197?window=all)

Price · $99.00

Advertised RTP · 75.75% · EV $74.99 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.51% · 463 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 107.89% ±27.69 163 openings

7 days · 104.04% ±18.09 402 openings

30 days · 99.51% ±16.90 463 openings

since tracking started · 99.51% ±16.90 463 openings

79.0% 107.5% 136.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 82.03% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (82.61% – 116.41%, 463 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197?window=24h) | 163 | 107.89% ±27.7 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197?window=7d) | 402 | 104.04% ±18.1 | +2.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197) | 463 | 99.51% ±16.9 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/197?window=all) | 463 | 99.51% ±16.9 | +2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 463 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $3,921 | 1.6% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,030 | $3,237 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $2,385 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,543 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $1,498 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $1,242 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 694 | $1,135 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $952 | 2.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 417 | $741 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $676 | 4.1% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 192 | $619 | 4.3% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.08× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $483 | 5.2% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $482 | 5.1% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $434 | 4.6% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $250 | 5.0% | 4 | 6.9 | 0.58× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $244 | 4.9% | 7 | 6.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $226 | 4.5% | 8 | 6.9 | 1.15× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $120 | 2.4% | 14 | 6.9 | 2.02× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $118 | 4.7% | 14 | 13.9 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $81.31 | 6.5% | 17 | 27.8 | 0.61× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $77.98 | 7.3% | 30 | 32.4 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 18.0% | $44.24 | 10.6% | 76 | 83.3 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) | 55.7% | $19.90 | 14.8% | 276 | 257.9 | 1.07× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: vip1111)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) [Twintower468](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Twintower468) $99.00 $3,921 39.61x 2026-11-10 22:03 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) [KickZenmasterEU](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KickZenmasterEU) $90.00 $3,921 43.57x 2026-11-05 11:29 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $90.00 $3,237 35.96x 2026-11-10 14:15 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [九命猫死](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E4%B9%9D%E5%91%BD%E7%8C%AB%E6%AD%BB) $90.00 $2,385 26.49x 2026-11-10 02:49 UTC

[AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) [205195](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/205195) $90.00 $952 10.58x 2026-11-08 00:11 UTC

[AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $90.00 $952 10.58x 2026-11-04 15:20 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $90.00 $676 7.51x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Doc](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Doc) $90.00 $676 7.51x 2026-11-08 20:37 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $90.00 $619 6.87x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) [Nyonya Rita](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Nyonya%20Rita) $90.00 $619 6.87x 2026-11-09 00:55 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=197)

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $99.00 $19.90 0.20x 2026-11-11 09:27 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $99.00 $77.98 0.79x 2026-11-11 09:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $99.00 $19.90 0.20x 2026-11-11 09:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $99.00 $19.90 0.20x 2026-11-11 09:27 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $99.00 $77.98 0.79x 2026-11-11 09:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $99.00 $19.90 0.20x 2026-11-11 09:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $99.00 $120 1.22x 2026-11-11 09:26 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $99.00 $19.90 0.20x 2026-11-11 07:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $99.00 $19.90 0.20x 2026-11-11 07:08 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $99.00 $44.24 0.45x 2026-11-11 07:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $99.00 | 75.75% | 23 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $90.00 | 83.33% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.8% covert 30.9% restricted 0.0% epic 1.9% Immortal 0.8% classified 3.8% rare 6.0% Classified 55.7% best hit $3,921 (39.61x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.75 on average: an expected loss of $24.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt