--- title: "Have Fun case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Have Fun ($0.53) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.30% from 9 items with odds, observed 83.21% over 35.9K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Have Fun](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Have Fun A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211?window=all) Price · $0.53 Advertised RTP · 83.30% · EV $0.44 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.21% · 35.9K openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 61.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.17% ±4.29 4,264 openings 7 days · 83.13% ±1.62 29.7K openings 30 days · 83.21% ±1.48 35.9K openings since tracking started · 83.21% ±1.48 35.9K openings 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211?window=24h) | 4,264 | 85.17% ±4.29 | +0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211?window=7d) | 29.7K | 83.13% ±1.62 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211) | 35.9K | 83.21% ±1.48 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/211?window=all) | 35.9K | 83.21% ±1.48 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $168 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $5.34 | 0.2% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.55× | | [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $4.88 | 11.1% | 359 | 360.4 | 1.00× | | [Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $2.43 | 11.0% | 761 | 720.7 | 1.06× | | [Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.51 | 6.9% | 2,149 | 2162.2 | 0.99× | | [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.50 | 7.9% | 2,494 | 2513.6 | 0.99× | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.47 | 8.5% | 2,890 | 2883.0 | 1.00× | | [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) | 37.0% | $0.36 | 30.2% | 13,131 | 13336.9 | 0.98× | | [MAC-10 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) | 39.0% | $0.27 | 23.9% | 14,250 | 14054.4 | 1.01× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: have-fun)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=211) [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $0.53 $0.27 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) [Maniac](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Maniac) $0.53 $0.27 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) [Mantelli](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mantelli) $0.53 $2.43 4.58x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [✦ Cuervo™✦ 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%A6%20Cuervo%E2%84%A2%E2%9C%A6%202.0) $0.53 $0.36 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $0.53 $0.36 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) [Maniac](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Maniac) $0.53 $0.27 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [Mantelli](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mantelli) $0.53 $0.36 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [✦ Cuervo™✦ 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%A6%20Cuervo%E2%84%A2%E2%9C%A6%202.0) $0.53 $0.36 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $0.53 $0.36 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [Maniac](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Maniac) $0.53 $0.36 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.53 | 83.30% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 0.0% pink 0.0% #8847ff 1.0% restricted 2.0% mil spec 6.0% #4b69ff 7.0% Rare 45.0% light blue 39.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.30 on average: an expected loss of $16.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt