--- title: "Clutch case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Clutch case ($3.62) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.28% from 36 items with odds, observed 62.45% over 1,545 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Clutch case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Clutch case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213?window=all) Price · $3.62 Advertised RTP · 83.28% · EV $3.01 from 36 items Observed RTP, 30d · 62.45% · 1,545 openings, odds method Variance · 125.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 465 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 235 openings · below min 7 days · 1,275 openings · below min 30 days · 1,545 openings · below min since tracking started · 1,545 openings · below min -0.5% 130.0% 260.5% **Small sample.** 1,545 openings and 3.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213?window=24h) | 235 | 116.86% ±143.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213?window=7d) | 1,275 | 67.18% ±61.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213) | 1,545 | 62.45% ±55.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/213?window=all) | 1,545 | 62.45% ±55.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,550 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,000 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,777 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,752 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $988 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $825 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $819 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $784 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $757 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $666 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $621 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $617 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $545 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $522 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $495 | 1.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $447 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $324 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $310 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $299 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $265 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $256 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $147 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $45.45 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $19.93 | 4.6% | 10 | 10.8 | 0.92× | | [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $17.70 | 5.3% | 22 | 14.0 | 1.58× | | [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $7.25 | 3.1% | 23 | 20.1 | 1.14× | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $4.84 | 2.4% | 15 | 23.3 | 0.65× | | [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $4.55 | 2.4% | 22 | 24.3 | 0.90× | | [Nova \| Wild Six (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $4.21 | 2.4% | 27 | 27.1 | 1.00× | | [Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $3.19 | 2.6% | 37 | 38.8 | 0.95× | | [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $1.48 | 1.7% | 59 | 54.8 | 1.08× | | [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.43 | 2.8% | 99 | 93.0 | 1.06× | | [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1.38 | 3.7% | 127 | 124.0 | 1.02× | | [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 12.0% | $0.81 | 3.2% | 172 | 186.0 | 0.92× | | [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.79 | 3.9% | 228 | 232.5 | 0.98× | | [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.75 | 5.0% | 305 | 310.0 | 0.98× | | [SG 553 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.67 | 5.6% | 402 | 387.5 | 1.04× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: clutch-case)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-factory-new) [swaggy-günther](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/swaggy-g%C3%BCnther) $3.62 $621 171.7x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) [krassh11rusggdrop. wtf](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/krassh11rusggdrop.%20wtf) $3.62 $495 136.6x 2026-11-08 14:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=213) [UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) [Szymon Siurek](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Szymon%20Siurek) $3.62 $4.55 1.26x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) [BlueBeard](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/BlueBeard) $3.62 $0.79 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) [Bandits](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Bandits) $3.62 $3.19 0.88x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) [Mythwar](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mythwar) $3.62 $1.43 0.40x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-factory-new) [AnkkaDankka SUCK MY DICK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/AnkkaDankka%20SUCK%20MY%20DICK) $3.62 $0.67 0.19x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-factory-new) [ВЫЛЫСЫПЫДЫСТ](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%D0%92%D0%AB%D0%9B%D0%AB%D0%A1%D0%AB%D0%9F%D0%AB%D0%94%D0%AB%D0%A1%D0%A2) $3.62 $0.67 0.19x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) [Forever](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Forever) $3.62 $0.75 0.21x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $3.62 $0.67 0.19x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $3.62 $0.75 0.21x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $3.62 $1.38 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.62 | 83.28% | 36 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% Extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.0% classified 0.9% Legendary 0.7% Mythical 1.3% restricted 7.3% mil spec 30.5% Rare 14.0% milspec 20.0% blue 25.0% best hit $621 (171.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.28 on average: an expected loss of $16.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt