---
title: "Spectrum 2 Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Spectrum 2 Case ($3.94) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.26% from 36 items with odds, observed 75.87% over 2,519 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Spectrum 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Spectrum 2 Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216?window=all)

Price · $3.94

Advertised RTP · 83.26% · EV $3.28 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.87% · 2,519 openings, odds method

Variance · 33.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 132 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 318 openings · below min

7 days · 82.54% ±25.00 2,045 openings

30 days · 75.87% ±22.53 2,519 openings

since tracking started · 75.87% ±22.53 2,519 openings

30.0% 94.0% 158.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216?window=24h) | 318 | 94.09% ±63.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216?window=7d) | 2,045 | 82.54% ±25.0 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216) | 2,519 | 75.87% ±22.5 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/216?window=all) | 2,519 | 75.87% ±22.5 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,537 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,080 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $703 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $582 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $537 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $475 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $287 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $272 | 1.7% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $253 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $246 | 3.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $226 | 3.4% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $220 | 3.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $216 | 3.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $190 | 2.9% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.58× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $176 | 2.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $171 | 2.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $170 | 2.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $168 | 2.6% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.36× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $162 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $143 | 2.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $123 | 1.9% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.58× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $121 | 1.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.58× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $104 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $36.09 | 2.2% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $30.90 | 1.9% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $9.55 | 1.5% | 16 | 12.7 | 1.26× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) | 1 in 127 | $9.14 | 2.2% | 15 | 20.0 | 0.75× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $6.00 | 2.7% | 42 | 38.1 | 1.10× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4.86 | 4.4% | 82 | 76.1 | 1.08× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4.63 | 4.2% | 74 | 76.1 | 0.97× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Zander (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3.16 | 4.8% | 145 | 126.9 | 1.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.33 | 4.1% | 255 | 253.7 | 1.01× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.00 | 3.0% | 245 | 253.7 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) | 13.0% | $0.94 | 3.7% | 321 | 329.8 | 0.97× |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.88 | 4.0% | 367 | 380.6 | 0.96× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-factory-new) | 17.0% | $0.82 | 4.2% | 466 | 431.3 | 1.08× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.75 | 4.6% | 482 | 507.4 | 0.95× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: spectrum-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [RageKushe #quebramonitor](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/RageKushe%20%23quebramonitor) $3.94 $475 120.6x 2026-11-09 02:43 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Smirnoff ®](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Smirnoff%20%C2%AE) $3.94 $272 69.13x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Wendy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Wendy) $3.94 $272 69.13x 2026-11-11 02:24 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) [DC King](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/DC%20King) $3.94 $226 57.25x 2026-11-07 00:31 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $3.94 $216 54.86x 2026-11-07 17:13 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=216)

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) [Mantelli](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mantelli) $3.94 $1.33 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[P250 | Ripple (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-factory-new) [MaDaRa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MaDaRa) $3.94 $0.82 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) [Hajzlát](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hajzl%C3%A1t) $3.94 $0.75 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $3.94 $1.33 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[MP7 | Akoben (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-factory-new) [Kapitan Gówienow](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Kapitan%20G%C3%B3wienow) $3.94 $0.88 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) [Re.Emilia](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Re.Emilia) $3.94 $4.63 1.18x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[MP7 | Akoben (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-factory-new) [weedmonster42069](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/weedmonster42069) $3.94 $0.88 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) [Naruto\_LoquillÖ](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Naruto_Loquill%C3%96) $3.94 $0.94 0.24x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[MP7 | Akoben (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $3.94 $0.88 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC

[MP7 | Akoben (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $3.94 $0.88 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.94 | 83.26% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.0% covert knife 0.0% sunny 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% covert 0.7% Covert 0.0% classified 0.5% restricted 5.8% Mythical 3.0% mil spec 15.0% #4b69ff 25.0% Mil Spec Grade 13.0% milspec 17.0% blue 20.0% best hit $475 (120.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.26 on average: an expected loss of $16.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt