---
title: "Horizon Case CS2 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Horizon Case CS2 ($2.74) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 51 items with odds, observed 81.57% over 10.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Horizon Case CS2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Horizon Case CS2

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217?window=all)

Price · $2.74

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $2.28 from 51 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.57% · 10.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 15.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 105.55% ±27.58 759 openings

7 days · 87.36% ±9.05 7,044 openings

30 days · 81.57% ±7.48 10.3K openings

since tracking started · 81.57% ±7.48 10.3K openings

73.5% 103.8% 134.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217?window=24h) | 759 | 105.55% ±27.6 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217?window=7d) | 7,044 | 87.36% ±9.05 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217) | 10.3K | 81.57% ±7.48 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/217?window=all) | 10.3K | 81.57% ±7.48 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $612 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $578 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $566 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $488 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $473 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $470 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $440 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $428 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $392 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $362 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $360 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $343 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $326 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $307 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $293 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $283 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $276 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $265 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $257 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $254 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $246 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $211 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $210 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $179 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $171 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $163 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $155 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $155 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $152 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $148 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $147 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $144 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $129 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $124 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.90× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $119 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.93× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $115 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.93× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $81.66 | 1.8% | 10 | 5.2 | 1.93× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $56.74 | 2.0% | 4 | 8.3 | 0.48× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $45.84 | 2.0% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.87× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $18.76 | 2.5% | 45 | 31.0 | 1.45× |
| [Nova \| Toy Soldier (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $16.21 | 2.8% | 32 | 41.4 | 0.77× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $11.40 | 3.0% | 47 | 62.1 | 0.76× |
| [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $11.29 | 3.0% | 57 | 62.1 | 0.92× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $10.34 | 3.6% | 71 | 82.8 | 0.86× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $9.17 | 4.0% | 106 | 103.5 | 1.02× |
| [Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3.52 | 7.7% | 497 | 517.3 | 0.96× |
| [P90 \| Traction (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-traction-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $2.64 | 11.5% | 1,044 | 1024.8 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.49 | 9.8% | 1,528 | 1551.8 | 0.98× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Survivalist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.23 | 10.8% | 2,016 | 2069.0 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-factory-new) | 23.0% | $0.99 | 10.0% | 2,423 | 2379.3 | 1.02× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Shred (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-shred-factory-new) | 23.0% | $0.94 | 9.5% | 2,438 | 2379.3 | 1.02× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: horizon-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) [一日三餐](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E4%B8%80%E6%97%A5%E4%B8%89%E9%A4%90) $2.74 $360 131.2x 2026-11-06 21:11 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-factory-new) [ForelleS](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ForelleS) $2.74 $326 118.9x 2026-11-06 10:38 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) [wwjj](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/wwjj) $2.74 $307 112.0x 2026-11-11 00:58 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) [wjwjwj](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/wjwjwj) $2.74 $307 112.0x 2026-11-07 02:17 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) [ImBlue](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ImBlue) $2.74 $293 107.0x 2026-11-05 07:47 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) [电脑玩家史蒂夫](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E7%94%B5%E8%84%91%E7%8E%A9%E5%AE%B6%E5%8F%B2%E8%92%82%E5%A4%AB) $2.74 $246 89.81x 2026-11-09 08:55 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [rufus](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/rufus) $2.74 $179 65.42x 2026-11-07 00:14 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [wwjj](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/wwjj) $2.74 $179 65.42x 2026-11-05 02:34 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [775421D](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/775421D) $2.74 $163 59.32x 2026-11-10 14:56 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) [wwjj](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/wwjj) $2.74 $148 54.00x 2026-11-05 02:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=217)

[MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) [✦ Cuervo™✦ 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%A6%20Cuervo%E2%84%A2%E2%9C%A6%202.0) $2.74 $1.49 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) [NicoBoyzzzz |](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/NicoBoyzzzz%20%7C) $2.74 $1.49 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-factory-new) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $2.74 $1.23 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-shred-factory-new) [Epixess](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Epixess) $2.74 $0.94 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-shred-factory-new) [Hajzlát](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hajzl%C3%A1t) $2.74 $0.94 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-factory-new) [可爱的 ( ^ω^)机灵鬼](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%8F%AF%E7%88%B1%E7%9A%84%20%28%20%5E%CF%89%5E%29%E6%9C%BA%E7%81%B5%E9%AC%BC) $2.74 $0.99 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-factory-new) [Kapitan Gówienow](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Kapitan%20G%C3%B3wienow) $2.74 $0.99 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-factory-new) [Cardano](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Cardano) $2.74 $0.99 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-factory-new) [COTA csgolive.com CSGODUCK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/COTA%20csgolive.com%20CSGODUCK) $2.74 $1.23 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) [Samy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Samy) $2.74 $1.49 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.74 | 83.33% | 51 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.1% knifes 0.0% covert 0.1% Covert 0.0% classified 0.2% sunny 0.0% gold 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% Immortal 0.0% restricted 3.1% mil spec 96.5% best hit $360 (131.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt