---
title: "GAMMA 2 CASE case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "GAMMA 2 CASE ($3.58) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.20% from 31 items with odds, observed 83.13% over 4,770 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [GAMMA 2 CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · GAMMA 2 CASE

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219?window=all)

Price · $3.58

Advertised RTP · 83.20% · EV $2.98 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.13% · 4,770 openings, odds method

Variance · 16.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 38 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 107.84% ±31.10 670 openings

7 days · 85.24% ±12.89 3,899 openings

30 days · 83.13% ±11.66 4,770 openings

since tracking started · 83.13% ±11.66 4,770 openings

71.0% 105.3% 139.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219?window=24h) | 670 | 107.84% ±31.1 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219?window=7d) | 3,899 | 85.24% ±12.9 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219) | 4,770 | 83.13% ±11.7 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/219?window=all) | 4,770 | 83.13% ±11.7 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,770 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $658 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $386 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $382 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $379 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $316 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $278 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $237 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $233 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $227 | 1.5% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $226 | 3.8% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $200 | 3.4% | 7 | 2.4 | 2.94× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $191 | 3.2% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $180 | 3.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $130 | 3.5% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $112 | 3.7% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $106 | 3.6% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $83.90 | 2.8% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $77.96 | 2.9% | 2 | 5.2 | 0.38× |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $63.04 | 3.2% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.12× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $47.92 | 3.2% | 12 | 9.5 | 1.26× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $18.65 | 3.1% | 25 | 23.9 | 1.05× |
| [SG 553 \| Triarch (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $10.77 | 3.6% | 53 | 47.7 | 1.11× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $8.38 | 2.8% | 42 | 47.7 | 0.88× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $4.82 | 3.2% | 93 | 95.4 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $2.29 | 4.6% | 300 | 286.4 | 1.05× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.94 | 6.5% | 483 | 477.0 | 1.01× |
| [UMP-45 \| Briefing (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-briefing-factory-new) | 11.1% | $1.77 | 6.6% | 543 | 528.5 | 1.03× |
| [Negev \| Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) | 12.3% | $1.43 | 5.9% | 575 | 586.7 | 0.98× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) | 14.0% | $1.31 | 6.2% | 690 | 667.8 | 1.03× |
| [XM1014 \| Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) | 18.0% | $1.08 | 6.5% | 844 | 858.6 | 0.98× |
| [G3SG1 \| Ventilator (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-factory-new) | 23.0% | $0.91 | 7.0% | 1,072 | 1097.1 | 0.98× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: gamma-2-case)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [1](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1) $3.58 $386 107.8x 2026-11-09 03:36 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [rob](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/rob) $3.58 $386 107.8x 2026-11-09 02:38 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) [Dankewudi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dankewudi) $3.58 $382 106.7x 2026-11-11 04:45 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [Fan Tomas](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Fan%20Tomas) $3.58 $278 77.54x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) [dlwlrma](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/dlwlrma) $3.58 $227 63.28x 2026-11-11 07:31 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) [\[ A&K Squad \]︻芫═── Claudiu-Mihai](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5B%20A%26K%20Squad%20%5D%EF%B8%BB%E8%8A%AB%E2%95%90%E2%94%80%E2%94%80%20Claudiu-Mihai) $3.58 $200 55.83x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) [YesJuan ;')](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/YesJuan%20%3B'%29) $3.58 $200 55.83x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) [cohenjk91](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/cohenjk91) $3.58 $200 55.83x 2026-11-10 07:21 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) [pew](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/pew) $3.58 $200 55.83x 2026-11-09 16:50 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $3.58 $200 55.83x 2026-11-08 09:57 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=219)

[G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-factory-new) [SacredSouL](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SacredSouL) $3.58 $0.91 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-factory-new) [yS](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/yS) $3.58 $2.29 0.64x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-factory-new) [SysteM](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SysteM) $3.58 $2.29 0.64x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) [Kudesn1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Kudesn1k) $3.58 $1.31 0.37x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-factory-new) [WSZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/WSZ) $3.58 $0.91 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC

[SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-factory-new) [LEON](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/LEON) $3.58 $10.77 3.01x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $3.58 $1.31 0.37x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) [SysteM](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SysteM) $3.58 $1.94 0.54x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) [WSZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/WSZ) $3.58 $1.94 0.54x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC

[XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) [LEON](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/LEON) $3.58 $1.08 0.30x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.58 | 83.20% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.5% Immortal 0.0% sunny 0.0% classified 0.3% restricted 2.1% pink 0.2% violet 2.5% #4b69ff 16.0% Rare 52.1% mil spec 12.3% Mil Spec 14.0% best hit $386 (107.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.20 on average: an expected loss of $16.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt