---
title: "ESPORTS 2013 CASE case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "ESPORTS 2013 CASE ($59.12) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 69 items with odds, observed 81.16% over 686 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [ESPORTS 2013 CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · ESPORTS 2013 CASE

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231?window=all)

Price · $59.12

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $49.27 from 69 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.16% · 686 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89 openings · below min

7 days · 82.53% ±25.21 600 openings

30 days · 81.16% ±23.58 686 openings

since tracking started · 81.16% ±23.58 686 openings

8.0% 74.0% 140.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231?window=24h) | 89 | 73.94% ±65.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231?window=7d) | 600 | 82.53% ±25.2 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231) | 686 | 81.16% ±23.6 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/231?window=all) | 686 | 81.16% ±23.6 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 69 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 686 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.3K | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,582 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,702 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,532 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,388 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,312 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,127 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,817 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,771 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,376 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,326 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,255 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,237 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,203 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,169 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,056 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,050 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,049 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,042 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,012 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $945 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $931 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $874 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $864 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $864 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $813 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $720 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $694 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $683 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $666 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $615 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $531 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $500 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $470 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $456 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $446 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $413 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $400 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $392 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $389 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $375 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $369 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $343 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $341 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $335 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $323 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.19× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $314 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $306 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $290 | 1.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $241 | 1.5% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $225 | 2.3% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.17× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $214 | 2.2% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $211 | 2.1% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $183 | 1.9% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.17× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $183 | 1.9% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.75× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $179 | 1.8% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $179 | 1.8% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $158 | 1.6% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $150 | 1.5% | 8 | 3.4 | 2.33× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $137 | 1.4% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $132 | 1.3% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.17× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $129 | 1.3% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $125 | 1.3% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.17× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $93.19 | 4.7% | 18 | 16.9 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $72.15 | 5.1% | 21 | 24.0 | 0.87× |
| [M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) | 10.0% | $52.76 | 10.7% | 77 | 68.6 | 1.12× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 25.0% | $46.51 | 23.6% | 171 | 171.5 | 1.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-factory-new) | 25.0% | $6.57 | 3.3% | 167 | 171.5 | 0.97× |
| [FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $5.78 | 2.9% | 165 | 171.5 | 0.96× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: esports-2013-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $59.12 $1,203 20.35x 2026-11-10 03:32 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $59.12 $720 12.18x 2026-11-09 23:02 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $59.12 $683 11.55x 2026-11-08 01:47 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) [使你才能](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E4%BD%BF%E4%BD%A0%E6%89%8D%E8%83%BD) $59.12 $531 8.98x 2026-11-10 08:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=231)

[MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-factory-new) [TheRealWraith | csgopoints.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/TheRealWraith%20%7C%20csgopoints.com) $59.12 $6.57 0.11x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC

[Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) [MaMeawww](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MaMeawww) $59.12 $93.19 1.58x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) [Scrappy Coco](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Scrappy%20Coco) $59.12 $5.78 0.10x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) [BumbleBee](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/BumbleBee) $59.12 $5.78 0.10x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) [4mo](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/4mo) $59.12 $214 3.62x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $59.12 $5.78 0.10x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $59.12 $46.51 0.79x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $59.12 $150 2.54x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $59.12 $6.57 0.11x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $59.12 $46.51 0.79x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $59.12 | 83.33% | 69 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 4.9% Covert 0.8% Immortal 0.0% knifes 1.5% covert knife 1.7% classified 0.1% sunny 0.1% violet 2.5% restricted 28.5% mil spec 60.0% best hit $1,203 (20.35x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt