---
title: "Armour case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Armour ($1.89) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.13% from 63 items with odds, observed 80.13% over 6,207 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Armour](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Armour

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243?window=all)

Price · $1.89

Advertised RTP · 83.13% · EV $1.57 from 63 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.13% · 6,207 openings, odds method

Variance · 16.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 63.01% ±33.93 557 openings

7 days · 80.05% ±11.03 5,268 openings

30 days · 80.13% ±10.16 6,207 openings

since tracking started · 80.13% ±10.16 6,207 openings

28.5% 63.0% 97.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243?window=24h) | 557 | 63.01% ±33.9 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243?window=7d) | 5,268 | 80.05% ±11.0 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243) | 6,207 | 80.13% ±10.2 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243?window=all) | 6,207 | 80.13% ±10.2 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,234 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,016 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $554 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $302 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $301 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $240 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $211 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $196 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $182 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $175 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $168 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $168 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $166 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $164 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-well-worn) | 1 in 25,000 | $159 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $157 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $153 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $150 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $145 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $142 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $141 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $140 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $136 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $136 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $125 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $120 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $117 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $117 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $107 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $97.29 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $81.80 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $67.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $64.21 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP7 \| Full Stop (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $60.16 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP7 \| Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $58.77 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $54.56 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP7 \| Full Stop (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $53.91 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $52.40 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $50.57 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP7 \| Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $50.30 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $48.13 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $44.87 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $30.12 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $30.01 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $27.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $27.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $26.46 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.41× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $26.05 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.60× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $25.58 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $25.40 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $24.72 | 0.8% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $21.74 | 0.7% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $20.29 | 0.6% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $20.06 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $19.16 | 0.6% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.49 | 0.9% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.80× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $13.77 | 4.4% | 28 | 31.2 | 0.90× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $13.02 | 4.1% | 44 | 31.2 | 1.41× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $12.19 | 3.9% | 27 | 31.2 | 0.87× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $10.52 | 13.4% | 119 | 124.7 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $8.48 | 10.8% | 121 | 124.7 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-factory-new) | 28.7% | $1.27 | 23.2% | 1,802 | 1790.7 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $0.49 | 9.4% | 1,883 | 1870.2 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-well-worn) | 35.0% | $0.24 | 5.3% | 2,176 | 2181.9 | 1.00× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: armour)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) [Champ.](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Champ.) $1.89 $211 111.7x 2026-11-09 19:43 UTC

[Tec-9 | Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-minimal-wear) [Scrappy Coco](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Scrappy%20Coco) $1.89 $196 104.0x 2026-11-06 11:04 UTC

[Tec-9 | Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-minimal-wear) [Yui(UMR)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Yui%28UMR%29) $1.89 $196 104.0x 2026-11-05 03:04 UTC

[Tec-9 | Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) [司元/sliry](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%8F%B8%E5%85%83%2Fsliry) $1.89 $182 96.19x 2026-11-08 21:46 UTC

[AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) [1863927](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1863927) $1.89 $166 87.73x 2026-11-03 12:11 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-well-worn) [KogdaKAK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KogdaKAK) $1.89 $150 79.61x 2026-11-04 15:52 UTC

[MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) [Quavo Huncho](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Quavo%20Huncho) $1.89 $120 63.63x 2026-11-08 07:21 UTC

[MAC-10 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) [кексик](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%D0%BA%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BA) $1.89 $117 62.02x 2026-11-06 22:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=243)

[AUG | Ricochet (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-minimal-wear) [✦ Cuervo™✦ 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%A6%20Cuervo%E2%84%A2%E2%9C%A6%202.0) $1.89 $0.49 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-well-worn) [Can I get an OhHH YeeEEaaaHH?](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Can%20I%20get%20an%20OhHH%20YeeEEaaaHH%3F) $1.89 $0.24 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-well-worn) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $1.89 $0.24 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-well-worn) [MrGuitarBoi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MrGuitarBoi) $1.89 $0.24 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[FAMAS | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) [可爱的 ( ^ω^)机灵鬼](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%8F%AF%E7%88%B1%E7%9A%84%20%28%20%5E%CF%89%5E%29%E6%9C%BA%E7%81%B5%E9%AC%BC) $1.89 $10.52 5.57x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-factory-new) [Epixess](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Epixess) $1.89 $1.27 0.67x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-well-worn) [✦ Cuervo™✦ 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%A6%20Cuervo%E2%84%A2%E2%9C%A6%202.0) $1.89 $0.24 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-well-worn) [Can I get an OhHH YeeEEaaaHH?](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Can%20I%20get%20an%20OhHH%20YeeEEaaaHH%3F) $1.89 $0.24 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-minimal-wear) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $1.89 $0.49 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-minimal-wear) [MrGuitarBoi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MrGuitarBoi) $1.89 $0.49 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.89 | 83.13% | 63 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 35.0% covert 0.1% mil spec 28.9% #4b69ff 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.0% red 0.0% classified 0.8% Covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% milspec 0.0% #d32ee6 0.0% restricted 4.5% Mythical 0.5% Rare 30.0% best hit $211 (111.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.13 on average: an expected loss of $16.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt