--- title: "Tiger Tooth Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tiger Tooth Case ($20.98) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.31% from 44 items with odds, observed 87.63% over 1,704 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Tiger Tooth Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Tiger Tooth Case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244?window=all) Price · $20.98 Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $17.48 from 44 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.63% · 1,704 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 79.72% ±16.56 342 openings 7 days · 86.26% ±8.34 1,347 openings 30 days · 87.63% ±7.42 1,704 openings since tracking started · 87.63% ±7.42 1,704 openings 62.5% 79.8% 97.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244?window=24h) | 342 | 79.72% ±16.6 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244?window=7d) | 1,347 | 86.26% ±8.34 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244) | 1,704 | 87.63% ±7.42 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/244?window=all) | 1,704 | 87.63% ±7.42 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,716 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $2,878 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $2,273 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,956 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,057 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $978 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $841 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $656 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $585 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 33,333 | $572 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $570 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $457 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $355 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $346 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $288 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $256 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $250 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $247 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $226 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $226 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $180 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.75× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $162 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $159 | 0.9% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.33× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $156 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.75× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $150 | 1.7% | 7 | 3.4 | 2.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $144 | 1.6% | 7 | 3.4 | 2.04× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $142 | 1.6% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $137 | 2.0% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $131 | 2.2% | 10 | 5.1 | 1.94× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $129 | 2.2% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $121 | 2.1% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× | | [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $107 | 3.1% | 9 | 8.6 | 1.05× | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $106 | 3.0% | 6 | 8.6 | 0.70× | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $106 | 3.0% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× | | [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $94.45 | 3.2% | 14 | 10.3 | 1.36× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $83.89 | 3.6% | 21 | 12.9 | 1.63× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $77.44 | 4.4% | 15 | 17.2 | 0.87× | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $46.21 | 4.0% | 28 | 25.7 | 1.09× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $45.46 | 3.9% | 30 | 25.7 | 1.17× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $27.84 | 4.8% | 56 | 51.5 | 1.09× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $19.47 | 8.6% | 142 | 132.1 | 1.08× | | [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $14.72 | 16.8% | 335 | 343.2 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 20.0% | $8.56 | 9.8% | 346 | 343.2 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) | 20.0% | $5.55 | 6.4% | 335 | 343.2 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) | 20.0% | $2.62 | 3.0% | 321 | 343.2 | 0.94× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: tiger)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=244) [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) [BTS BIOT](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/BTS%20BIOT) $20.98 $83.89 4.00x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) [JoaK--](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/JoaK--) $20.98 $14.72 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) [Elon Mumps](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Elon%20Mumps) $20.98 $14.72 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) [KARMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KARMA) $20.98 $14.72 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) [General pp](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/General%20pp) $20.98 $14.72 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) [Roy Mustang](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Roy%20Mustang) $20.98 $8.56 0.41x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) [JoaK--](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/JoaK--) $20.98 $14.72 0.70x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) [Ron\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ron_) $20.98 $45.46 2.17x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $20.98 $5.55 0.26x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $20.98 $45.46 2.17x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.98 | 83.31% | 44 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 53.1% restricted 20.6% covert 6.1% red 0.2% Restricted 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt