---
title: "Premium Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Premium Case ($156.35) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 98 items with odds, observed 87.62% over 973 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Premium Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Premium Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247?window=all)

Price · $156.35

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $130.29 from 98 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.62% · 973 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 32 openings · below min

7 days · 88.42% ±9.92 544 openings

30 days · 87.62% ±7.42 973 openings

since tracking started · 87.62% ±7.42 973 openings

23.0% 64.5% 106.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247?window=24h) | 32 | 64.33% ±40.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247?window=7d) | 544 | 88.42% ±9.92 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247) | 973 | 87.62% ±7.42 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247?window=all) | 973 | 87.62% ±7.42 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 98 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 976 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,500 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,500 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,201 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,100 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,956 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,782 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,734 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,525 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,494 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,350 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,348 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,245 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,130 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,080 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,059 | 0.8% | 4 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $985 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.54× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $955 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.54× |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $940 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $931 | 1.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $900 | 1.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $872 | 1.3% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.56× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $693 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $689 | 1.1% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.54× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $664 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $658 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $656 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.54× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $587 | 1.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.82× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $554 | 1.1% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.23× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $535 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $534 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.82× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $471 | 1.8% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $385 | 1.5% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.43× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $373 | 1.4% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $360 | 1.4% | 8 | 4.9 | 1.64× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $342 | 1.3% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $321 | 1.2% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $315 | 1.2% | 8 | 4.9 | 1.64× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $297 | 1.1% | 8 | 4.9 | 1.64× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $294 | 1.1% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $287 | 1.1% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $275 | 1.1% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.43× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $268 | 1.0% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $267 | 1.0% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $261 | 1.0% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $257 | 1.0% | 10 | 4.9 | 2.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $256 | 1.0% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $233 | 0.9% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $230 | 0.9% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $222 | 0.9% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $201 | 0.8% | 8 | 4.9 | 1.64× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $200 | 1.5% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $197 | 1.5% | 2 | 9.8 | 0.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $197 | 1.5% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $189 | 1.5% | 12 | 9.8 | 1.23× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $184 | 1.4% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $182 | 1.4% | 8 | 9.8 | 0.82× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $175 | 1.3% | 7 | 9.8 | 0.72× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $175 | 1.3% | 8 | 9.8 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $174 | 1.3% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $168 | 1.3% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.13× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $165 | 1.3% | 18 | 9.8 | 1.84× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $165 | 1.3% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.13× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $164 | 1.3% | 13 | 9.8 | 1.33× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $164 | 1.3% | 12 | 9.8 | 1.23× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $160 | 1.2% | 6 | 9.8 | 0.61× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $155 | 1.2% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.13× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $152 | 1.2% | 14 | 9.8 | 1.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $149 | 1.1% | 6 | 9.8 | 0.61× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $147 | 1.1% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $144 | 1.1% | 12 | 9.8 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $144 | 1.1% | 8 | 9.8 | 0.82× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $138 | 1.1% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $137 | 1.0% | 12 | 9.8 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $136 | 1.0% | 14 | 9.8 | 1.43× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $134 | 1.0% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $131 | 1.0% | 3 | 9.8 | 0.31× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $122 | 0.9% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.13× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $118 | 0.9% | 8 | 9.8 | 0.82× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $117 | 0.9% | 8 | 9.8 | 0.82× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $116 | 0.9% | 7 | 9.8 | 0.72× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $116 | 0.9% | 5 | 9.8 | 0.51× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $105 | 0.8% | 12 | 9.8 | 1.23× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $103 | 0.8% | 12 | 9.8 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $99.23 | 1.1% | 14 | 14.6 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $96.51 | 1.1% | 12 | 14.6 | 0.82× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $94.19 | 1.1% | 17 | 14.6 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $93.12 | 1.1% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.09× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $84.00 | 1.0% | 20 | 14.6 | 1.37× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $75.77 | 1.2% | 19 | 19.5 | 0.97× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $56.61 | 1.3% | 25 | 29.3 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $49.93 | 1.1% | 34 | 29.3 | 1.16× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $42.85 | 1.0% | 25 | 29.3 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $29.21 | 0.9% | 41 | 39.0 | 1.05× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $21.17 | 0.8% | 41 | 48.8 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $19.43 | 0.7% | 49 | 48.8 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $15.48 | 0.6% | 39 | 48.8 | 0.80× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $11.00 | 0.5% | 58 | 58.6 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $4.88 | 0.4% | 100 | 94.2 | 1.06× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: premium)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $156 $4,500 28.78x 2026-11-10 12:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $156 $1,245 7.96x 2026-11-08 22:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Code Memotv](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Code%20Memotv) $156 $1,080 6.91x 2026-11-08 18:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $156 $1,059 6.77x 2026-11-09 18:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $156 $1,059 6.77x 2026-11-08 18:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $156 $1,059 6.77x 2026-11-04 10:22 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $156 $1,059 6.77x 2026-11-04 09:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $156 $985 6.30x 2026-11-10 12:15 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $156 $985 6.30x 2026-11-10 12:07 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $156 $985 6.30x 2026-11-04 15:47 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=247)

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $156 $144 0.92x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $156 $84.00 0.54x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $156 $315 2.01x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $156 $56.61 0.36x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $156 $147 0.94x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $156 $29.21 0.19x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $156 $267 1.71x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $156 $21.17 0.14x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $156 $197 1.26x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $156 $137 0.87x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $156 | 83.33% | 98 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 31.7% restricted 2.0% covert 45.6% rare 0.1% Ancient 0.5% red 3.5% sunny 1.0% covert knife 1.0% pink 5.0% Legendary 9.7% best hit $4,500 (28.78x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt