--- title: "Give me that case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Give me that ($81.53) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 8 items with odds, observed 82.79% over 250 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Give me that](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Give me that A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262?window=all) Price · $81.53 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $67.94 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.79% · 250 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 64 openings · below min 7 days · 84.49% ±20.23 210 openings 30 days · 82.79% ±18.54 250 openings since tracking started · 82.79% ±18.54 250 openings 52.5% 90.0% 127.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262?window=24h) | 64 | 90.04% ±36.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262?window=7d) | 210 | 84.49% ±20.2 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262) | 250 | 82.79% ±18.5 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/262?window=all) | 250 | 82.79% ±18.5 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 252 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,298 | 9.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $408 | 9.0% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.06× | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $341 | 10.0% | 8 | 5.0 | 1.59× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $230 | 10.1% | 7 | 7.6 | 0.93× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $166 | 9.8% | 10 | 10.1 | 0.99× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 10.0% | $159 | 23.4% | 28 | 25.2 | 1.11× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 22.0% | $67.30 | 21.8% | 57 | 55.4 | 1.03× | | [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 57.0% | $7.51 | 6.3% | 138 | 143.6 | 0.96× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: give-me-that)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=262) [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $81.53 $7.51 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $81.53 $7.51 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $81.53 $159 1.95x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $81.53 $7.51 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $81.53 $159 1.95x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $81.53 $7.51 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $81.53 $7.51 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $81.53 $7.51 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $81.53 $7.51 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $81.53 $7.51 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $81.53 | 83.33% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 38.5% covert knife 4.5% #d32ee6 57.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt