---
title: "Gold Digger case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Gold Digger ($1.34) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 82.88% from 28 items with odds, observed 67.97% over 18K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Gold Digger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Gold Digger

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275?window=all)

Price · $1.34

Advertised RTP · 82.88% · EV $1.11 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 67.97% · 18K openings, odds method

Variance · 564.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 37 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.13% ±83.65 3,099 openings

7 days · 69.69% ±36.70 16.1K openings

30 days · 67.97% ±34.70 18K openings

since tracking started · 67.97% ±34.70 18K openings

-0.5% 83.5% 167.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275?window=24h) | 3,099 | 83.13% ±83.7 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275?window=7d) | 16.1K | 69.69% ±36.7 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275) | 18K | 67.97% ±34.7 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/275?window=all) | 18K | 67.97% ±34.7 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 100,000 | $9,360 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,848 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,836 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50,000 | $595 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $331 | 3.0% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $307 | 2.8% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $293 | 2.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $282 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $262 | 2.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $201 | 1.8% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.22× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $186 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $172 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $163 | 1.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $125 | 2.3% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,857 | $66.74 | 2.1% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $38.02 | 2.4% | 9 | 12.6 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $7.39 | 3.3% | 86 | 90.1 | 0.95× |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $6.45 | 4.4% | 153 | 135.2 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $4.94 | 5.3% | 211 | 216.3 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $3.11 | 5.6% | 353 | 360.6 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $1.31 | 5.9% | 903 | 901.5 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-well-worn) | 10.0% | $1.05 | 9.5% | 1,683 | 1802.9 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.93 | 8.4% | 1,806 | 1802.9 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.83 | 7.5% | 1,813 | 1802.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Abyss (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-abyss-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $0.69 | 6.2% | 1,842 | 1802.9 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) | 10.6% | $0.25 | 2.4% | 1,908 | 1910.2 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.10 | 0.9% | 1,800 | 1802.9 | 1.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) | 29.7% | $0.05 | 1.3% | 5,440 | 5360.9 | 1.01× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: gold-digger)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) [江川](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E6%B1%9F%E5%B7%9D) $1.34 $331 246.6x 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) [oVoiding](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/oVoiding) $1.34 $307 228.7x 2026-11-08 18:38 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) [abchombi08](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/abchombi08) $1.34 $307 228.7x 2026-11-08 08:20 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-well-worn) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $1.34 $293 218.3x 2026-11-11 06:49 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $1.34 $293 218.3x 2026-11-11 05:39 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $1.34 $282 210.4x 2026-11-11 03:16 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $1.34 $262 195.4x 2026-11-06 13:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) [snooki](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/snooki) $1.34 $201 150.1x 2026-11-11 09:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) [♂3.5k♂](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%99%823.5k%E2%99%82) $1.34 $201 150.1x 2026-11-09 08:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $1.34 $201 150.1x 2026-11-09 04:31 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=275)

[Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-minimal-wear) [Drache93xx](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Drache93xx) $1.34 $0.10 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) [MrGuitarBoi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MrGuitarBoi) $1.34 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) [Paula](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Paula) $1.34 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) [NicoBoyzzzz |](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/NicoBoyzzzz%20%7C) $1.34 $1.31 0.98x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) [✦ Cuervo™✦ 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%A6%20Cuervo%E2%84%A2%E2%9C%A6%202.0) $1.34 $0.25 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) [as21999](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/as21999) $1.34 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) [Mantelli](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mantelli) $1.34 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[P250 | Inferno (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-well-worn) [Maniac](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Maniac) $1.34 $1.05 0.78x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $1.34 $0.83 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[P250 | Inferno (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $1.34 $1.05 0.78x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.34 | 82.88% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 10.6% covert 0.1% rare 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% classified 0.9% restricted 16.7% Restricted 12.0% #8847ff 10.0% milspec 10.0% #87c7ff 10.0% industrial 29.7% best hit $331 (246.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.88 on average: an expected loss of $17.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt