--- title: "Double Pumpkins case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Double Pumpkins ($20.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.29% from 6 items with odds, observed 78.34% over 1,084 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Double Pumpkins](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Double Pumpkins A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279?window=all) Price · $20.00 Advertised RTP · 83.29% · EV $16.66 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.34% · 1,084 openings, odds method Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.91% ±44.18 106 openings 7 days · 83.86% ±18.25 621 openings 30 days · 78.34% ±13.82 1,084 openings since tracking started · 78.34% ±13.82 1,084 openings 40.0% 84.7% 129.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279?window=24h) | 106 | 84.91% ±44.2 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279?window=7d) | 621 | 83.86% ±18.3 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279) | 1,084 | 78.34% ±13.8 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/279?window=all) | 1,084 | 78.34% ±13.8 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,084 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $696 | 8.4% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $292 | 12.2% | 8 | 7.6 | 1.05× | | [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $238 | 11.4% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $79.44 | 19.1% | 46 | 43.4 | 1.06× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $50.14 | 15.0% | 55 | 54.2 | 1.01× | | [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 89.3% | $6.31 | 33.8% | 966 | 968.0 | 1.00× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: double-pumpkins)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=279) [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $20.00 $6.31 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $20.00 $292 14.58x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $20.00 $6.31 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [AK-47 | Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $20.00 $238 11.92x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $20.00 $79.44 3.97x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [LamaKicker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/LamaKicker) $20.00 $6.31 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $20.00 $6.31 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $20.00 $6.31 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $20.00 $6.31 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $20.00 $6.31 0.32x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 83.29% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.2% gold 0.7% red 0.8% Ancient 4.0% Covert 5.0% restricted 89.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.29 on average: an expected loss of $16.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt