--- title: "Drew case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Drew ($60.54) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 18 items with odds, observed 64.46% over 634 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Drew](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Drew A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284?window=all) Price · $60.54 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $50.45 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 64.46% · 634 openings, odds method Variance · 8.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.71% ±56.35 100 openings 7 days · 68.05% ±23.79 561 openings 30 days · 64.46% ±22.38 634 openings since tracking started · 64.46% ±22.38 634 openings 31.5% 88.5% 145.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284?window=24h) | 100 | 88.71% ±56.4 | +0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284?window=7d) | 561 | 68.05% ±23.8 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284) | 634 | 64.46% ±22.4 | −1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/284?window=all) | 634 | 64.46% ±22.4 | −1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 634 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,399 | 9.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $2,205 | 8.7% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.58× | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $1,164 | 9.2% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $475 | 7.5% | 1 | 5.1 | 0.20× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $311 | 6.2% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $285 | 8.5% | 5 | 9.5 | 0.53× | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $246 | 8.5% | 9 | 11.1 | 0.81× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $125 | 5.0% | 15 | 12.7 | 1.18× | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $124 | 4.9% | 18 | 12.7 | 1.42× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $70.46 | 4.2% | 23 | 19.0 | 1.21× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $54.48 | 4.3% | 25 | 25.4 | 0.99× | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $50.72 | 4.0% | 27 | 25.4 | 1.06× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $30.31 | 3.6% | 40 | 38.0 | 1.05× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $16.40 | 3.3% | 56 | 63.4 | 0.88× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-field-tested) | 10.0% | $16.00 | 3.2% | 59 | 63.4 | 0.93× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $14.42 | 3.4% | 90 | 76.1 | 1.18× | | [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 15.0% | $9.96 | 3.0% | 79 | 95.1 | 0.83× | | [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 26.2% | $5.76 | 3.0% | 180 | 165.8 | 1.09× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: drew)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $60.54 $2,205 36.42x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) [ParT QueeN](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ParT%20QueeN) $60.54 $2,205 36.42x 2026-11-08 23:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=284) [USP-S | Royal Blue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $60.54 $16.40 0.27x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $60.54 $16.40 0.27x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $60.54 $14.42 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $60.54 $5.76 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $60.54 $54.48 0.90x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-battle-scarred) [Boyka](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Boyka) $60.54 $14.42 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) [文明游戏](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E%E6%B8%B8%E6%88%8F) $60.54 $5.76 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) [noodle](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/noodle) $60.54 $5.76 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $60.54 $50.72 0.84x 2026-11-11 06:46 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $60.54 $5.76 0.10x 2026-11-11 06:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $60.54 | 83.33% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 30.7% covert 2.4% mil spec 5.8% industrial 8.0% red 2.0% Industrial Grade 10.0% pink 41.1% best hit $2,205 (36.42x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt