---
title: "Ice Stone CS2 Skins Collection on DaddySkins: odds & RTP"
description: "Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up. Figures from public feeds and chains."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Ice Stone CS2 Skins Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Ice Stone CS2 Skins Collection

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321?window=all)

Price · $1.64

Advertised RTP · 83.05% · EV $1.36 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 69.55% · 8,567 openings, odds method

Variance · 175.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 102 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 49.43% ±57.79 2,015 openings

7 days · 70.66% ±30.58 7,194 openings

30 days · 69.55% ±28.02 8,567 openings

since tracking started · 69.55% ±28.02 8,567 openings

-0.5% 53.8% 108.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321?window=24h) | 2,015 | 49.43% ±57.8 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321?window=7d) | 7,194 | 70.66% ±30.6 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321) | 8,567 | 69.55% ±28.0 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/321?window=all) | 8,567 | 69.55% ±28.0 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,601 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,398 | 10.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,259 | 9.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,017 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $51.63 | 9.5% | 19 | 21.5 | 0.88× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $39.44 | 8.7% | 18 | 25.8 | 0.70× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $20.97 | 6.2% | 39 | 34.4 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $6.69 | 4.9% | 93 | 86.0 | 1.08× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $6.54 | 4.8% | 84 | 86.0 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $6.12 | 4.5% | 97 | 86.0 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5.79 | 4.3% | 84 | 86.0 | 0.98× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5.69 | 4.2% | 90 | 86.0 | 1.05× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $4.88 | 3.6% | 90 | 86.0 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.34 | 2.5% | 91 | 86.0 | 1.06× |
| [G3SG1 \| Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-digital-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $1.05 | 6.2% | 707 | 688.1 | 1.03× |
| [M249 \| Deep Relief (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-deep-relief-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.94 | 5.5% | 727 | 688.1 | 1.06× |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.41 | 2.4% | 630 | 688.1 | 0.92× |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.36 | 2.1% | 685 | 688.1 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.26 | 1.5% | 690 | 688.1 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Mainframe (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.08 | 0.5% | 685 | 688.1 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.07 | 0.4% | 710 | 688.1 | 1.03× |
| [SG 553 \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.07 | 0.4% | 706 | 688.1 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.07 | 0.4% | 702 | 688.1 | 1.02× |
| [UMP-45 \| Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-urban-ddpat-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.05 | 0.4% | 823 | 860.1 | 0.96× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Coolant (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.03 | 0.2% | 830 | 861.8 | 0.96× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: ice-bonanza)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) [Sellout KoTleTa |](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Sellout%20KoTleTa%20%7C) $1.64 $1,398 852.4x 2026-11-10 10:23 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=321)

[UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-urban-ddpat-well-worn) [MaMen Juan](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MaMen%20Juan) $1.64 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-minimal-wear) [Armani](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Armani) $1.64 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Coolant (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-field-tested) [motar2k](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/motar2k) $1.64 $0.03 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) [Forever](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Forever) $1.64 $0.07 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-digital-mesh-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $1.64 $1.05 0.64x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-deep-relief-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $1.64 $0.94 0.57x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Coolant (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $1.64 $0.03 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $1.64 $0.07 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[MAC-10 | Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $1.64 $0.36 0.22x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[MAC-10 | Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) [FUCKshit](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/FUCKshit) $1.64 $0.36 0.22x 2026-11-11 14:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.64 | 83.05% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 16.0% restricted 3.3% rare 0.0% gold 0.0% classified 1.3% Legendary 3.4% mil spec 16.0% milspec 8.0% blueLight 8.0% industrial 8.0% consumer 8.0% Uncommon 8.0% common 10.0% #777777 10.0% best hit $1,398 (852.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.05 on average: an expected loss of $16.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt