---
title: "Snake stone case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Snake stone ($5.08) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.29% from 34 items with odds, observed 67.79% over 2,388 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Snake stone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Snake stone

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324?window=all)

Price · $5.08

Advertised RTP · 83.29% · EV $4.23 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 67.79% · 2,388 openings, odds method

Variance · 126.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 68.03% ±119.97 338 openings

7 days · 69.48% ±49.58 1,979 openings

30 days · 67.79% ±45.14 2,388 openings

since tracking started · 67.79% ±45.14 2,388 openings

-0.5% 94.0% 188.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324?window=24h) | 338 | 68.03% ±120.0 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324?window=7d) | 1,979 | 69.48% ±49.6 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324) | 2,388 | 67.79% ±45.1 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/324?window=all) | 2,388 | 67.79% ±45.1 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,396 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,199 | 12.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,782 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,073 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $527 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $517 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $499 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $310 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $272 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $271 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $256 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $141 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $128 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $118 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $99.23 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $84.62 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $73.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $59.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $57.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $53.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $47.31 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $47.11 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $41.52 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $34.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $33.00 | 6.0% | 26 | 18.4 | 1.41× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $24.25 | 5.7% | 28 | 24.0 | 1.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $23.44 | 5.5% | 21 | 24.0 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $16.42 | 3.9% | 25 | 24.0 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $15.92 | 3.8% | 23 | 24.0 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $11.51 | 2.7% | 21 | 24.0 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $8.73 | 2.1% | 18 | 24.0 | 0.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $7.63 | 1.8% | 16 | 24.0 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $7.51 | 1.8% | 24 | 24.0 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $6.09 | 1.4% | 20 | 24.0 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $1.77 | 37.6% | 2,170 | 2156.4 | 1.01× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: snake-bonanza)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) [irony](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/irony) $5.08 $527 103.7x 2026-11-10 14:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=324)

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [FatherPaul](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/FatherPaul) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [nikibonnn](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/nikibonnn) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [SysteM](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SysteM) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [FatherPaul](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/FatherPaul) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [nikibonnn](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/nikibonnn) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [SysteM](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SysteM) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $5.08 $1.77 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.08 | 83.29% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% classified 2.1% restricted 0.0% red 0.0% mil spec 90.0% violet 1.0% Mythical 1.8% industrial 2.0% Legendary 1.0% Uncommon 1.0% #d32ee6 1.0% best hit $527 (103.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.29 on average: an expected loss of $16.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt