--- title: "Fine Tools case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fine Tools ($84.89) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 31 items with odds, observed 83.35% over 422 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Fine Tools](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Fine Tools A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333?window=all) Price · $84.89 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $70.74 from 31 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.35% · 422 openings, odds method Variance · 0.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 55.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 68 openings · below min 7 days · 83.25% ±4.03 347 openings 30 days · 83.35% ±3.66 422 openings since tracking started · 83.35% ±3.66 422 openings 73.0% 82.8% 92.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333?window=24h) | 68 | 82.96% ±9.11 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333?window=7d) | 347 | 83.25% ±4.03 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333) | 422 | 83.35% ±3.66 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333?window=all) | 422 | 83.35% ±3.66 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 422 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $4,702 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,600 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,057 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $985 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $909 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $841 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $511 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $464 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $445 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $430 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $426 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $290 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $253 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $220 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $169 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $158 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $145 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $141 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 943 | $121 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 263 | $106 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.87× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $96.89 | 0.7% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 10.0% | $75.59 | 10.7% | 41 | 42.2 | 0.97× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $75.43 | 11.7% | 52 | 46.4 | 1.12× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 11.0% | $73.41 | 11.4% | 41 | 46.4 | 0.88× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 11.0% | $71.61 | 11.1% | 59 | 46.4 | 1.27× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-field-tested) | 11.0% | $69.68 | 10.8% | 49 | 46.4 | 1.06× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 11.0% | $68.48 | 10.6% | 48 | 46.4 | 1.03× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 11.0% | $63.15 | 9.8% | 43 | 46.4 | 0.93× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 11.1% | $62.90 | 9.9% | 36 | 46.8 | 0.77× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 11.3% | $62.69 | 10.0% | 47 | 47.7 | 0.99× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: fine-tools)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=333) [★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $84.89 $62.69 0.74x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $84.89 $75.43 0.89x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-field-tested) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $84.89 $75.59 0.89x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $84.89 $71.61 0.84x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $84.89 $68.48 0.81x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $84.89 $68.48 0.81x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $84.89 $62.69 0.74x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $84.89 $69.68 0.82x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $84.89 $73.41 0.86x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $84.89 $75.59 0.89x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $84.89 | 83.33% | 31 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 55.6% epic 0.0% gold 0.0% covert knife 33.3% #ffd700 11.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt