--- title: "Diamond <3 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Diamond <3 ($398.14) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 11 items with odds, observed 85.48% over 210 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Diamond \<3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Diamond \<3 A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337?window=all) Price · $398.14 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $331.78 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.48% · 210 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 63.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 96.34% ±25.76 139 openings 30 days · 85.48% ±20.96 210 openings since tracking started · 85.48% ±20.96 210 openings 64.0% 93.3% 122.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337?window=7d) | 139 | 96.34% ±25.8 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337) | 210 | 85.48% ±21.0 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/337?window=all) | 210 | 85.48% ±21.0 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 210 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5,407 | 16.3% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.43× | | [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,416 | 8.5% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,407 | 12.7% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $831 | 8.8% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.82× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $591 | 9.8% | 10 | 11.6 | 0.87× | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $548 | 9.9% | 13 | 12.6 | 1.03× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $479 | 11.6% | 19 | 16.8 | 1.13× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $436 | 10.5% | 23 | 16.8 | 1.37× | | [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $153 | 6.0% | 27 | 27.3 | 0.99× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 20.0% | $58.76 | 3.5% | 44 | 42.0 | 1.05× | | [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $26.25 | 2.4% | 58 | 63.0 | 0.92× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: dimond)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $5,407 13.58x 2026-11-10 12:20 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) [SakuJhin](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SakuJhin) $398 $5,407 13.58x 2026-11-10 07:21 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) [靠](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E9%9D%A0) $398 $5,407 13.58x 2026-11-10 01:45 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $1,416 3.56x 2026-11-10 12:20 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $398 $1,416 3.56x 2026-11-04 09:45 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $1,407 3.53x 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $1,407 3.53x 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $1,407 3.53x 2026-11-10 12:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $1,407 3.53x 2026-11-10 12:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $398 $1,407 3.53x 2026-11-08 16:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=337) [M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $58.76 0.15x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $436 1.09x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $26.25 0.07x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $436 1.09x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $58.76 0.15x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $26.25 0.07x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $436 1.09x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $153 0.38x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $153 0.38x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) [1454472](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1454472) $398 $436 1.09x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $398 | 83.33% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 17.0% classified 52.0% covert 27.5% #ffd700 3.5% best hit $5,407 (13.58x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt